December Medium/Long Range Discussion

[clskinsfan]

Looks OK for a thump out this way. Sleety after that. 

[TSSN+]

H5 not as impressive as 6z little messier storm, but it’s still there at least. 

[NorthArlington101]

Yeah, it's not as good. Real issue is we just don't get the rates we need to force a flip with marginal temperatures. Need a stronger and sharper vort and we don't get it this run.

[NorthArlington101]

12z pretty much storm total precip vs. 06z

[Alfoman]

Delicate balance with amplification and placement of the low pressure off the coast with the GFS progression at 500. Would not worry too much into the details as of now, we just need the energy spacing to be close to where it is. 

GFS already doing it's classic energy getting sheared and held out for longer in the SW US though that we saw in the 120-180 hour range all too often last year.

[mitchnick]

Ggem is a light event

[mitchnick]

Ukie looks to be too strong with the High.

[mitchnick]

Just now, mitchnick said:

Ukie looks to be too strong with the High.

Yep...ots

[yoda]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Ukie looks to be too strong with the High.

The cold air press looks stronger than the GFS/GGEM based off the 540 line location