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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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44 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Maybe we lose power at school tomorrow morning…lol…we can only hope. 

Fielded lots of calls about that today!  The worry about bus routes and tree limbs falling is always a significant concern for many districts.  Many districts will be in the middle of their elementary bus runs as this event ramps up.  But given the fickle nature of tree damage and strong wind events in general, usually nothing proactive you can do in advance; unless we are dealing with the rare case of a true tropical system coming onshore.  Hopefully this event under-performs, like most of our wind events?  But it does have chance to be locally nasty.

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7 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

How have the AI models done up to this point in time, this year?   I don't really count last year - I don't think.  It was just too primitive and sparsely existing.  But now there appears to be an actual competitive market getting going so it should be time to compare verification and scoring 

This is the right question. Last year was prototyping. This year is massive telemetry gathering. Next year is tuning in response to those telemetrics. The one caveat is that observability is nascent so the value of the telemetry gathering is low but sharply increasing. So, the quality of that observability will (is) increasing exponentially, ferreting out bias, low value feedback and creating a positive feedback loop of increasing telemetry quality / observability of high-value output / input (retraining) back into the LLM’s and SLM’s. 

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https://insightspsychology.org/the-dark-side-of-toxic-positivity/

Examples of Toxic Positivity:

  • Telling someone who is grieving, “Everything happens for a reason.”
  • Advising a friend going through a tough time to “look on the bright side.”
  • Posting on social media with hashtags like #NoNegativity or #StayPositive in the context of serious challenges.
  • Shaming someone for expressing sadness, fear, or anger by saying, “You’re bringing down the vibe.”

While these phrases are often well-intentioned, they can invalidate the recipient’s feelings and prevent meaningful emotional processing.

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1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

It’s definitely not as good down his way. Rain on the 23rd while everyone else is snowing would objectively suck. Still time for this one though so nothing is locked. 

That would be so poignant though…rain for the chronic and constant curmudgeon…while everyone else snows. Payback from ma nature is such a bitch. 

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