December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[dendrite]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Us tomorrow?

 

https://x.com/MyWeatherViewX/status/2001686271148572954?s=20

Typical day for kdxken

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, FXWX said:

8 to 2 pm

Maybe we lose power at school tomorrow morning…lol…we can only hope. 

[Torch Tiger]

The first of last years December cutters (power cutter iirc) was very memorable and wild. Hoping for that

[Ginx snewx]

21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Us tomorrow?

 

https://x.com/MyWeatherViewX/status/2001686271148572954?s=20

Notice the dry slot. Always the dry slot 

[weatherwiz]

3km remains impressive looking. Really interested to see how we look in the AM, particularly with satellite 

[WxWatcher007]

33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Us tomorrow?

 

https://x.com/MyWeatherViewX/status/2001686271148572954?s=20

[FXWX]

44 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Maybe we lose power at school tomorrow morning…lol…we can only hope. 

Fielded lots of calls about that today!  The worry about bus routes and tree limbs falling is always a significant concern for many districts.  Many districts will be in the middle of their elementary bus runs as this event ramps up.  But given the fickle nature of tree damage and strong wind events in general, usually nothing proactive you can do in advance; unless we are dealing with the rare case of a true tropical system coming onshore.  Hopefully this event under-performs, like most of our wind events?  But it does have chance to be locally nasty.

[das]

7 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

He’s around. But in his defense, the NWS is really getting hosed. It’s a tough situation for all of them and I’ll just leave it at that. 

It’s awful. Good people doing important work pilloried due to nonsense. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Still have about 1.5" of crust on the ground here....all a dream tomorrow.

[das]

7 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

How have the AI models done up to this point in time, this year?   I don't really count last year - I don't think.  It was just too primitive and sparsely existing.  But now there appears to be an actual competitive market getting going so it should be time to compare verification and scoring 

This is the right question. Last year was prototyping. This year is massive telemetry gathering. Next year is tuning in response to those telemetrics. The one caveat is that observability is nascent so the value of the telemetry gathering is low but sharply increasing. So, the quality of that observability will (is) increasing exponentially, ferreting out bias, low value feedback and creating a positive feedback loop of increasing telemetry quality / observability of high-value output / input (retraining) back into the LLM’s and SLM’s. 

[MJO812]

Gfs solid for the 23-24

[WinterWolf]

We take. 

[WxWatcher007]

Yeah better run for the region.