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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Once again, we added another negative variable over the last 24+ hours. Not only is it still not turning the corner, it’s kind of lost its potency so even on some of those earlier runs without much coastal involvement we were getting a couple inches.

Now, over the last several cycles, that has kind of disappeared 

18z NAM was an example... on that run, more energy was able to compensate a little for the worse tilt and southeast squash

To echo what CoastalWx and others have said... I remember the occasions, felt like a few times every season, when we were micro-analyzing such details with huge stakes on the eve of classic KUs. Now the stakes are a few inches and it's tiring.

0z Euro continued to tick the trough more positive and outcome more southeast... maybe 1-3" south coast, 3-4" outer Cape. 0z AIFS a hair better.

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3 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Isn't the euro out soon?

Tick south.

It’s funny. Looping the trend over the last 24-36hrs it ticks south at 00/12 and north at 06/18. If you’re still an offhour conspiracy theorist there ya go. 

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Even on a system like this, the new Pit manages to have rain mentioned in the forecast

Saturday Night

A slight chance of rain before 8pm, then snow. Low around 26. West wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
 
Sunday
Snow, mainly before 2pm. High near 34. Light north wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
  • Haha 1
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