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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Once again, we added another negative variable over the last 24+ hours. Not only is it still not turning the corner, it’s kind of lost its potency so even on some of those earlier runs without much coastal involvement we were getting a couple inches.

Now, over the last several cycles, that has kind of disappeared 

18z NAM was an example... on that run, more energy was able to compensate a little for the worse tilt and southeast squash

To echo what CoastalWx and others have said... I remember the occasions, felt like a few times every season, when we were micro-analyzing such details with huge stakes on the eve of classic KUs. Now the stakes are a few inches and it's tiring.

0z Euro continued to tick the trough more positive and outcome more southeast... maybe 1-3" south coast, 3-4" outer Cape. 0z AIFS a hair better.

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