December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[dryslot]

Low was weaker on the 12z run then 06z, Get this to ramp up in time looks to be one of the problems.

[40/70 Benchmark]

It's amazing....December just always sucks. Whether it's a torch, subtle cold like last year, or frigid like this year...it just doesn't snow.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Dr NO has returned, I see.

Good trends on everything at 12z except the one that really mattered 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Dr NO has returned, I see.

Good trends on everything at 12z except the one that really mattered 

ya that was a let down after the other guidance looking beefy

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Dr NO has returned, I see.

Good trends on everything at 12z except the one that really mattered 

Of course, it was way too far south for last week, and it ended up being rain, but it will nail this one being too far to the south. Can't make it up. Past decade....if it snows for SNE, it's wrong, if it doesn't, it's right.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Good news is one less blog to write.

[ORH_wxman]

Lot of posters on tilt already on 12/11 

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Good news is one less blog to write.

Man I miss the days of yore. Classic storm build-up with corresponding model cinema, then the blog drops… 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Of course, it was way too far south for last week, and it ended up being rain, but it will nail this one being too far to the south. Can't make it up. Past decade....if it snows for SNE, it's wrong, if it doesn't, it's right.

I hear you, I’m beyond frustrated at this point. We just can’t get anything to go right.

Like you said, the euro will nail this one after being complete garbage last week.

[CT Rain]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It's amazing....December just always sucks. Whether it's a torch, subtle cold like last year, or frigid like this year...it just doesn't snow.

Kevin claims December used to be our best winter month.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Lot of posters on tilt already on 12/11 

You do have to admit it’s pretty fitting for the last several years, even if the ceiling on this storm was low. Everything beefs up, and then the euro comes out and says coatings, which it will nail.

The frustration is understandable 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, CT Rain said:

Kevin claims December used to be our best winter month.

It was growing up. Enjoy the snowy Sunday morning 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Lot of posters on tilt already on 12/11 

Well, I said give it until mid month....this failure gets us there. Barring the prexmas miracle event, I'm marching inexorably towards placing a neon 1989 at the top of my xmas tree waiting for the ball to drop, hopefully on my fucj(king skull and putting me out of my misery.

[CT Rain]

Skynet looks a smidge better. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

ya that was a let down after the other guidance looking beefy

Had everyone reeled in for a few hours 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Lot of posters on tilt already on 12/11 

I love Eric from snowy Maine piling on like a cheerleader with the "100" emoji

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I’d give it to 00z. Will only take a bump to make it a little better, we’re pretty close now. Not really expecting any moves 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

You do have to admit it’s pretty fitting for the last several years, even if the ceiling on this storm was low. Everything beefs up, and then the euro comes out and says coatings, which it will nail.

The frustration is understandable 

Euro didn’t even look that different from other guidance. It was a little skimpier on QPF down near Cape but honestly, when is it not? GFS trended NW but it’s actually still a considerably worse outcome than the Euro. 
 

Euro has been a bit too far south on multiple systems so far so it doesn’t take a lot of mental gymnastics to think this could verify a little more favorable than it’s currently depicting. I’d like to see GFS keep bumping NW though. 

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Had everyone reeled in for a few hours 

Seeing a strong Ukie, I thought the euro would follow

[weatherwiz]

most exciting weather upcoming will be the landslides in the PAC NW next week 

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Man I miss the days of yore. Classic storm build-up with corresponding model cinema, then the blog drops… 

These days, the blog ends up dropped into the toilet, after ma nature defecates on our collective grapes. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro didn’t even look that different from other guidance. It was a little skimpier on QPF down near Cape but honestly, when is it not? GFS trended NW but it’s actually still a considerably worse outcome than the Euro. 
 

Euro has been a bit too far south on multiple systems so far so it doesn’t take a lot of mental gymnastics to think this could verify a little more favorable than it’s currently depicting. I’d like to see GFS keep bumping NW though. 

I would feel hopeful for CT, RI and se MA, but I don't see how this ends up anything appreciable up here, at this point...then we can get back to our regularly scheduled program of me being 3 miles too far to the south.

[HoarfrostHubb]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It was growing up. Enjoy the snowy Sunday morning 

Are there specific years in CT where December was wire to wire snowy?

[Snowcrazed71]

14 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Kevin claims December used to be our best winter month.

Well he knows better than you!! Lol

 

[CT Rain]

18 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Skynet looks a smidge better. 

Ensembles too

[SouthCoastMA]

Advisory on the Euro here..but close to something better. Outer Cape would get some ocean enhanced overnight Sunday, verbatim 4"+

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Advisory on the Euro here..but close to something better. Outer Cape would get some ocean enhanced overnight Monday, verbatim 4"+

You’re in a good spot for this one I think. Prob like a 2” floor but with some decent upside/ceiling. 

[MaineJayhawk]

26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I love Eric from snowy Maine piling on like a cheerleader with the "100" emoji

I’m a Will fanboy - I inherently agree violently with whatever he posts

[SouthCoastMA]

EC-AI has a christmas eve day clipper giving a white christmas to all. Fun to look at, at least

[WinterWolf]

13 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Ensembles too

It ain’t over yet…I’ll take a couple inches.