December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[WxWatcher007]

GFS now following the NAM with a little snow early Wednesday in SNE.

[MJO812]

22 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

GFS now following the NAM with a little snow early Wednesday in SNE.

Gfs shows a snowstorm for the 16th even down to the coastal plain.

[Typhoon Tip]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs shows a snowstorm for the 16th even down to the coastal plain.

another in a parade of phantoms 

[WinterWolf]

3 hours ago, dendrite said:

lol. People need to deal with it.  

I’d rather it was still 60°. I’m only happy about the pack because it’s cold. 

But it’s true. It’s 12/7. The whining is dumb. There’s 4 months of snow season left. 

Perfect post.  
 

December…for the most part sucks for snow in SNE. Sure, we’ve had some good ones. But way more bad ones.  That’s just how it goes in SNE.  The cold is in place…we may hit on something yet. But it’s nothing unprecedented if we don’t.  Ya, we’ll waste a good cold pattern…but that’s happened about a thousand times before also. 
 

As Powderfriek said…it ebbs and flows. SNE was killing it for a good long while, it’s a bitch when you go back to the shit barrel.  But we knew it was coming. Now we need a good double or triple to break us out of the slump, we’ll get it. 

[Torch Tiger]

good 0z gfs run 

[CoastalWx]

2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

The most interesting thing about this December for me is whether or not this will be year 15 in a row without a white Christmas.

Last one was 2010.

 

id love to know when the last time this area went that long, if ever

We had one here in 2017 and NYC had one last year. Sucks there.

[WinterWolf]

3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

might help the psycho babble if folks finally accept this as the new paradigm

 

So snow to our south(way to our south), and snow to our north, and snow to our west, and snow to our east out at sea,…is the new paradigm?   Ya…that’s just called bad fortune imo. 

[TheMainer]

Euro and GFS looked good at 0z up here for Wednesday night, now the 6z cut back on the GFS, let's hope it's just off hour issues

[CoastalWx]

December to remember. 

[TheMainer]

3.25 inches of Arctic fluff here overnight from this clipper, leaf blower type stuff. 

[CoastalWx]

At least RIC gets their second snow event in a week. 
 

10 days in a row BN and a patchy coating to show. What a month. Love it.

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

At least RIC gets their second snow event in a week. 
 

10 days in a row BN and a patchy coating to show. What a month. Love it.

Now don’t you start whining 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Now don’t you start whining 

Just noting a fact. No whining here. Looking forward to 50s for Christmas. 

[Damage In Tolland]

I thought that furnace had disappeared mid month? 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I thought that furnace had disappeared mid month? 

Pushing it back to Christmas. Just like the ones we used to know.

[Kitz Craver]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Just noting a fact. No whining here. Looking forward to 50s for Christmas. 

The clipper at hr 174 on the 6z GFS is my absolute favorite 

[Modfan2]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Just noting a fact. No whining here. Looking forward to 50s for Christmas. 

My concern is that at some point we are going to lose the BN temps (for the most part) we have had for almost a month now and trend to normal or maybe AN. 

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Pushing it back to Christmas. Just like the ones we used to know.

Well yesterday you loved the storm 12th-13th and felt great about it. So we lost that , lost the clipper Wednesday and now looking at Grinch .. oh man 

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Well yesterday you loved the storm 12th-13th and felt great about it. So we lost that , lost the clipper Wednesday and now looking at Grinch .. oh man 

Something could pop near the 15th I suppose. 00z gfs has a snowstorm. Euro has a clipper on the 14th. No real concrete signal. 

[dendrite]

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Pushing it back to Christmas. Just like the ones we used to know.

What a way to run midnight going into Christmas eve. 

[UnitedWx]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Well yesterday you loved the storm 12th-13th and felt great about it. So we lost that , lost the clipper Wednesday and now looking at Grinch .. oh man 

Just wait a run or two. We have no idea whats happening 5 plus days from now. Every run is a different roll of the dice. Just look for signals. I still say most Decembers where I grew up (Granby) were nearly snowless until at least Christmas, aside from a dusting here or there. I find it unusual to have 3 inches OTG here right now

[Snowcrazed71]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Something could pop near the 15th I suppose. 00z gfs has a snowstorm. Euro has a clipper on the 14th. No real concrete signal. 

It's crazy, it's happening all over again. Everything that shows some kind of possibility of a storm either fizzles out or gets pushed out. 

So wasn't it 2010 where New York City  South got some great storms and we missed out on most of the snow? 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

What a way to run midnight going into Christmas eve. 

Windows open baby. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

Skynet with a robust little snowstorm early next week.

[mahk_webstah]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

What a way to run midnight going into Christmas eve. 

Squalls Christmas morning?  White Christmas?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

It's crazy, it's happening all over again. Everything that shows some kind of possibility of a storm either fizzles out or gets pushed out. 

So wasn't it 2010 where New York City  South got some great storms and we missed out on most of the snow? 

Yeah but that was more from massive NAO blocking. 

[Snowcrazed71]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

What a way to run midnight going into Christmas eve. 

We can't get one model run to be correct when it comes to snow for our area, I'm talking about Southern New England. But we get a map showing a warm Christmas Eve.... Now for some reason I think that's going to be right LOL 

In all honesty, light snow would be fine for Christmas Eve or Christmas Day, but I don't want a storm. My sis has a very big Christmas Eve shindig every year and it's a great time. But damn it, let's get some snow in here!!!

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Skynet with a robust little snowstorm early next week.

There’s a chance. But it really has to be timed right. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

We stay the course. Multiple threats possible beginning mid week into end of following week.

[WxWatcher007]

42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

At least RIC gets their second snow event in a week. 
 

10 days in a row BN and a patchy coating to show. What a month. Love it.

Winter storm warnings from Roanoke to Williamsburg…can’t make it up.