dendrite Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 12z? 6z was liquid to Laconia. What a model. Yeah that thing has been all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 BTW, if any of you use pivotal… The new beta site is way more friendly, especially mobile. Much more easier to use and not clunky like the legacy version. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 12z? 6z was liquid to Laconia. What a model. Yep, not even close to 06z run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Somewhat of an elevation event . At least in that depiction I'd rather be in Methuen than Tolland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Getting quite a heavy snow shower here and the ground is coated. Windy so it looks pretty great outside. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd rather be in Methuen than Tolland. Not me . This has elevation written on it 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: Getting quite a heavy snow shower here and the ground is coated. Windy so it looks pretty great outside. Stay safe, friend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Fight fight fight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think it would if it wasn’t so marginal in like 100+ millibar layer. I suppose that at the height it could flip to a 33F paste if it’s really really pounding. I just go back in saying bring me those runs from yesterday. So I'll give you this, where you're located, you are much closer to the ocean and it's influence at this point of the year and it still makes things much harder to get the cold air filtered down unless the storm was very strong and created its own cold air down to the surface. With that said, I still think there's a good shot that anyone I-84 and north and west has a good shot of at least staying wintry with the precipitation. Lord knows which model is right, but they're starting to come together in the sense of where the precipitation will be liquid and where it will be frozen. I just don't believe that the GFS is correct as I think it's too far north. By tomorrow afternoon or evening I think we'll have a clearer picture. As we all know, nothing's ever written in stone until a few days out. This is the way it's been over the last several years. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 5 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: So I'll give you this, where you're located, you are much closer to the ocean and it's influence at this point of the year and it still makes things much harder to get the cold air filtered down unless the storm was very strong and created its own cold air down to the surface. With that said, I still think there's a good shot that anyone I-84 and north and west has a good shot of at least staying wintry with the precipitation. Lord knows which model is right, but they're starting to come together in the sense of where the precipitation will be liquid and where it will be frozen. I just don't believe that the GFS is correct as I think it's too far north. By tomorrow afternoon or evening I think we'll have a clearer picture. As we all know, nothing's ever written in stone until a few days out. This is the way it's been over the last several years. My comment was where Steve is and nothing to do with here. I’ve been saying for days this is not for me. Scooter knows, especially for his locale. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Gfs looks toasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Oof it’s warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 GFS bringing warmth pretty far up n in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Oof it’s warm I know that that one model seems to be more warm biased and the other colder. Just forgetting which is which. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Just now, Snowcrazed71 said: I know that that one model seems to be more warm biased and the other colder. Just forgetting which is which. I’d argue GFS has been leading the way with this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Pivotal clown still has my area mostly snow, but its precarious at best. Lots of sleet in there methinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Well at least Ray and Kevin won’t need to fight lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Pivotal clown still has my area mostly snow, but its precarious at best. Lots of sleet in there methinks Looked like it close to paste there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Well at least Ray and Kevin won’t need to fight lol. Congrats Dendrite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’d argue GFS has been leading the way with this. Been weird though because the GFS has underdone some significant differences with H5 evolution. It's also been trending stronger with that trailing shortwave which maybe is acting to amp it up a bit? We're also kind of entering the time period where the GFS seems to have a bias towards this regard. Wouldn't be surprised to see it backed off some Saturday or even Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well at least Ray and Kevin won’t need to fight lol. Over who gets more rain? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Oof it’s warm Low is tucked right into Rhode Island. Congrats southern VT and SW NH. Paste job there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Been weird though because the GFS has underdone some significant differences with H5 evolution. It's also been trending stronger with that trailing shortwave which maybe is acting to amp it up a bit? We're also kind of entering the time period where the GFS seems to have a bias towards this regard. Wouldn't be surprised to see it backed off some Saturday or even Sunday. That parent short wave is still pretty far north and the one ahead of it just helps get things going. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 12-18", We can always adjust upwards if needed. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well at least Ray and Kevin won’t need to fight lol. Toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Feels like bizzaro world with the GFS having a consistent amped up low while the Euro is the SE outlier. After decades of the opposite I don’t know how to feel about this. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Euro will be mocked over this all winter. We're getting revenge for the Ryder Cup. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Toss. GFS is a lot more stacked than other guidance (i.e not as sloped with the pressure fields)....it's really going crazy with the main vort focusing and capturing the system....so we're seeing these tucked solutions with crazy QPF and rates....but also warmer for most of our area. I'm actually not sure which one to buy right now....I could be convinced either way. Part of me thinks GFS is a little overdone on this given the synoptics, but it's not impossible to see that solution. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 That warm tongue is bigger than Gene Simmons' 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 28, 2025 Share Posted November 28, 2025 My daughter will be able to go sledding at her school in S VT though. Looks solid enough there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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