Overnight Wednesday, November 5, 2025 Wind Event

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

35 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

October 2021 had gusts to 50-60 mph in NYC, further out east. 100+ mph gusts in Cape Cod. That was wild. January 2022 blizzard had gusts to 35-40 (borderline blizzard in NYC), and gusts to 80s in east Mass. These events are pretty rare but they're pretty impactful when they happen. 

The biggest non-tropical wind event for my particular area that I remember was March 2, 2018. The difference with that event is that the wind was sustained, not just in gusts like it usually is. It roared all day into the night and I believe that one had a sting jet also.

[ineedsnow]

every time a thread is started it turns into meh

[Torch Tiger]

2 hours ago, vortex95 said:

What I am saying is that these RI events can be sneaky and surprise us.  I am not talking a Dec 9, 2005 repeat.  But wind is wind, so is a sting jet.

And don't you recall?  Did anyone have a clue even that morning on Dec 9, 2005 what was going to happen?  I recall it was a just going to be a run-of-the-mill 4-8" event N of the Pike!  Only the Dec 23, 1997 ++SN (the BOS Herald "THEY BLEW IT!" event, rivals the Dec 2005 surprise!  CoastalWx's favorite though is the early March 2013 event.  Sfc low 600 mi out, and Blue Hill gets 30"!  Biggest bust ev-A!

And we know we are in an ideal position from a longwave pattern POV to take full advantage of systems moving through.  The building blocks are there, so that's why I am cautiously optimistic here it could be a good weenie event!  

G70?  The 12z HRRR showed that easily right offshore in ern MA.  G70 is nothing compared to the G100 on the S Coast for the Dec 2005 storm.  You do realize that about the only time low elevations of New England get G100 is w/ hurricanes.  It's quite rare in winter storms.
 

are you talking wind or snow?  I recall that storm well and snowfall was very well-forecasted, as were winds...besides the really high-end reports.  NWS at least, didn't hit on the far SE/ CC wind impacts but that was extraordinary. Great storm

[Typhoon Tip]

NAM still not interested in much over 40

[FXWX]

33 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

NAM still not interested in much over 40

Lots of backing down by 00z model runs... 

[metagraphica]

1 hour ago, FXWX said:

Lots of backing down by 00z model runs... 

Perfect, nobody wants damage and/or power outages.

[CoastalWx]

thanks wiz and vortex95. 

[CoastalWx]

3 hours ago, FXWX said:

Lots of backing down by 00z model runs... 

yep we cancel 

[Torch Tiger]

Looks basically the same, minor cut back

[ineedsnow]

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

yep we cancel 

 

1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said:

Looks basically the same, minor cut back

She gone

[NoCORH4L]

Poop. The news was hammering it last night. Got me excited.

[WxWatcher007]

4 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

yep we cancel 

We out. We’ll be windy, but nothing high end here. Also don’t want to read too much into it…but virtually every storm during this active period has been a cutter or coastal hugger…

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

We out. We’ll be windy, but nothing high end here. Also don’t want to read too much into it…but virtually every storm during this active period has been a cutter or coastal hugger…

Hopefully singing this all winter

 

 

[CoastalWx]

They’ll be a burst of strong winds near coast but lost high end potential. Meh. Maybe we get convection 

[WinterWolf]

Saw this coming…wind is a fraud 5 for the most part.  Don’t really care…just know if it’s not tropical, expect an underwhelming event. It’s that simple. 

[WxWatcher007]

22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Saw this coming…wind is a fraud 5 for the most part.  Don’t really care…just know if it’s not tropical, expect an underwhelming event. It’s that simple. 

I still think this’ll be a fine event as 45-55mph inland is still quite solid, but high end is high end for a reason and we don’t really do high end in anything in SNE to begin with. San Diego east. 

[Brian5671]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

We out. We’ll be windy, but nothing high end here. Also don’t want to read too much into it…but virtually every storm during this active period has been a cutter or coastal hugger…

Same story for 4 years really-the benchmark storm has become rare

[CoastalWx]

40 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Saw this coming…wind is a fraud 5 for the most part.  Don’t really care…just know if it’s not tropical, expect an underwhelming event. It’s that simple. 

It’s not fraudulent, but there’s a reason high end is on the rare side especially inland. 

[moneypitmike]

45 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Saw this coming…wind is a fraud 5 for the most part.  Don’t really care…just know if it’s not tropical, expect an underwhelming event. It’s that simple. 

 

I think your statement would be closer to correct if you DID include tropical. 

[weatherwiz]

Just looking through quickly it does seem we may be looking at more 45-50 mph gusts potential than the 55-60. Doesn't seem like a big difference but that is a pretty big difference in terms of potential for power outages and tree damage. 

[Brian5671]

8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Just looking through quickly it does seem we may be looking at more 45-50 mph gusts potential than the 55-60. Doesn't seem like a big difference but that is a pretty big difference in terms of potential for power outages and tree damage. 

with about half the trees bare now (at least here) 45-50 is not a big deal outside of isolated limbs/trees down

[dendrite]

21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s not fraudulent, but there’s a reason high end is on the rare side especially inland. 

The W-NW CAA winds generally are. We can do 45-55mph no problem, but the >55kt stuff is rare. The westerly component doesn’t do as much tree damage either since the trees grow braced against that flow.

Give me a mixed down raging easterly LLJ over something this.

[CTSkywarn]

with about half the trees bare now (at least here) 45-50 is not a big deal outside of isolated limbs/trees down

Don't tell that to the folks in North Madison, CT. We have lost power in the last 3 rain/wind events with only a wind advisory in place. It's a major problem here with many tree limbs touching or very close to the power lines.

[WinterWolf]

55 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

 

I think your statement would be closer to correct if you DID include tropical. 

Ya, but Tropical is when SNE will get the goods(if it’s legit tropical). It’s just that that doesn’t happen very often at all. 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I still think this’ll be a fine event as 45-55mph inland is still quite solid, but high end is high end for a reason and we don’t really do high end in anything in SNE to begin with. San Diego east. 

I wouldn’t go that far Don.  We do very high end coastal winter storms here.  We were just due for a regression. And that’s exactly what we got.  Those will be back. San Diego does nothing but blue skies and mild temps. So we are not quite them. 

[CoastalWx]

44 minutes ago, dendrite said:

The W-NW CAA winds generally are. We can do 45-55mph no problem, but the >55kt stuff is rare. The westerly component doesn’t do as much tree damage either since the trees grow braced against that flow.

Give me a mixed down raging easterly LLJ over something this.

We’ve had a few NW flow deals that I can recall that really did some damage. There was one I think in Nov 2004. Heck in Jan this year we had one after fropa that did damage here. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

We’ve had a few NW flow deals that I can recall that really did some damage. There was one I think in Nov 2004. Heck in Jan this year we had one after fropa that did damage here. 

Aren’t You on the coastal plain?…windier there for the most part. So you do better most times. 

[bristolri_wx]

12z HRRR looks windier than the 0z but nothing over 50 forecasted... NAM 3k maxing out at 45...

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Aren’t You on the coastal plain?…windier there for the most part. So you do better most times. 

Nw flow deals are good inland too because usually it’s CAA winds mixing down. Yeah east can be better due to pressure gradient, but it’s better than banking on strong NE winds over the interior. 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

12z HRRR looks windier than the 0z but nothing over 50 forecasted... NAM 3k maxing out at 45...

NAM was never really enthused which was a red flag.