ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 35 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said: October 2021 had gusts to 50-60 mph in NYC, further out east. 100+ mph gusts in Cape Cod. That was wild. January 2022 blizzard had gusts to 35-40 (borderline blizzard in NYC), and gusts to 80s in east Mass. These events are pretty rare but they're pretty impactful when they happen. The biggest non-tropical wind event for my particular area that I remember was March 2, 2018. The difference with that event is that the wind was sustained, not just in gusts like it usually is. It roared all day into the night and I believe that one had a sting jet also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago every time a thread is started it turns into meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 2 hours ago, vortex95 said: What I am saying is that these RI events can be sneaky and surprise us. I am not talking a Dec 9, 2005 repeat. But wind is wind, so is a sting jet. And don't you recall? Did anyone have a clue even that morning on Dec 9, 2005 what was going to happen? I recall it was a just going to be a run-of-the-mill 4-8" event N of the Pike! Only the Dec 23, 1997 ++SN (the BOS Herald "THEY BLEW IT!" event, rivals the Dec 2005 surprise! CoastalWx's favorite though is the early March 2013 event. Sfc low 600 mi out, and Blue Hill gets 30"! Biggest bust ev-A! And we know we are in an ideal position from a longwave pattern POV to take full advantage of systems moving through. The building blocks are there, so that's why I am cautiously optimistic here it could be a good weenie event! G70? The 12z HRRR showed that easily right offshore in ern MA. G70 is nothing compared to the G100 on the S Coast for the Dec 2005 storm. You do realize that about the only time low elevations of New England get G100 is w/ hurricanes. It's quite rare in winter storms. are you talking wind or snow? I recall that storm well and snowfall was very well-forecasted, as were winds...besides the really high-end reports. NWS at least, didn't hit on the far SE/ CC wind impacts but that was extraordinary. Great storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago NAM still not interested in much over 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 33 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: NAM still not interested in much over 40 Lots of backing down by 00z model runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 1 hour ago, FXWX said: Lots of backing down by 00z model runs... Perfect, nobody wants damage and/or power outages. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago thanks wiz and vortex95. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 3 hours ago, FXWX said: Lots of backing down by 00z model runs... yep we cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Looks basically the same, minor cut back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: yep we cancel 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: Looks basically the same, minor cut back She gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Poop. The news was hammering it last night. Got me excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: yep we cancel We out. We’ll be windy, but nothing high end here. Also don’t want to read too much into it…but virtually every storm during this active period has been a cutter or coastal hugger… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: We out. We’ll be windy, but nothing high end here. Also don’t want to read too much into it…but virtually every storm during this active period has been a cutter or coastal hugger… Hopefully singing this all winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago They’ll be a burst of strong winds near coast but lost high end potential. Meh. Maybe we get convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Saw this coming…wind is a fraud 5 for the most part. Don’t really care…just know if it’s not tropical, expect an underwhelming event. It’s that simple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Saw this coming…wind is a fraud 5 for the most part. Don’t really care…just know if it’s not tropical, expect an underwhelming event. It’s that simple. I still think this’ll be a fine event as 45-55mph inland is still quite solid, but high end is high end for a reason and we don’t really do high end in anything in SNE to begin with. San Diego east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: We out. We’ll be windy, but nothing high end here. Also don’t want to read too much into it…but virtually every storm during this active period has been a cutter or coastal hugger… Same story for 4 years really-the benchmark storm has become rare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 59 minutes ago Share Posted 59 minutes ago 40 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Saw this coming…wind is a fraud 5 for the most part. Don’t really care…just know if it’s not tropical, expect an underwhelming event. It’s that simple. It’s not fraudulent, but there’s a reason high end is on the rare side especially inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago 45 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Saw this coming…wind is a fraud 5 for the most part. Don’t really care…just know if it’s not tropical, expect an underwhelming event. It’s that simple. I think your statement would be closer to correct if you DID include tropical. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 54 minutes ago Author Share Posted 54 minutes ago Just looking through quickly it does seem we may be looking at more 45-50 mph gusts potential than the 55-60. Doesn't seem like a big difference but that is a pretty big difference in terms of potential for power outages and tree damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Just looking through quickly it does seem we may be looking at more 45-50 mph gusts potential than the 55-60. Doesn't seem like a big difference but that is a pretty big difference in terms of potential for power outages and tree damage. with about half the trees bare now (at least here) 45-50 is not a big deal outside of isolated limbs/trees down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 38 minutes ago Share Posted 38 minutes ago 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s not fraudulent, but there’s a reason high end is on the rare side especially inland. The W-NW CAA winds generally are. We can do 45-55mph no problem, but the >55kt stuff is rare. The westerly component doesn’t do as much tree damage either since the trees grow braced against that flow. Give me a mixed down raging easterly LLJ over something this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTSkywarn Posted 17 minutes ago Share Posted 17 minutes ago with about half the trees bare now (at least here) 45-50 is not a big deal outside of isolated limbs/trees downDon't tell that to the folks in North Madison, CT. We have lost power in the last 3 rain/wind events with only a wind advisory in place. It's a major problem here with many tree limbs touching or very close to the power lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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