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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...


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We’ll have a torch spike on the cutter the first few days of December (whenever that thing actually cuts…still wiggle room on guidance)….but we may drop the hammer after that. Canada is frigid and we start getting that cold -WPO cross-polar press. It’s hard to stay warm with that look. 
 

I’d be surprised if we didn’t have multiple SWFE threats between 12/5-12/15. Might even be able to sneak something a touch sooner. Esp NNE. 

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8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

We’ll have a torch spike on the cutter the first few days of December (whenever that thing actually cuts…still wiggle room on guidance)….but we may drop the hammer after that. Canada is frigid and we start getting that cold -WPO cross-polar press. It’s hard to stay warm with that look. 
 

I’d be surprised if we didn’t have multiple SWFE threats between 12/5-12/15. Might even be able to sneak something a touch sooner. Esp NNE. 

 

Screenshot_20251122_115825_X.jpg

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3 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 

Screenshot_20251122_115825_X.jpg

Yeah the euro was trying to get us too on that 12/3-4 system. We’ll see. Volatile solutions in this setup so I’d expect a lot of swings in guidance. We’re still in clown range anyway but these are the types of patterns you can oscillate between 60F cutters and cold SWFEs until you get inside 6 or 7 days. (In the old days it might do that until 4-5 days out) 

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23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

We’ll have a torch spike on the cutter the first few days of December (whenever that thing actually cuts…still wiggle room on guidance)….but we may drop the hammer after that. Canada is frigid and we start getting that cold -WPO cross-polar press. It’s hard to stay warm with that look. 
 

I’d be surprised if we didn’t have multiple SWFE threats between 12/5-12/15. Might even be able to sneak something a touch sooner. Esp NNE. 

An '07 redux? Are you thinking a -PNA for the first half of the month?

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22 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Did the final lawn cut and got rid of the leaves

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
 

Did the same here at WXW1. Grueling stuff but it feels good when it's done. 

16 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 

Screenshot_20251122_115825_X.jpg

This GFS run also tries to bring tropical out of the Gulf at the same time :lol: 

13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah the euro was trying to get us too on that 12/3-4 system. We’ll see. Volatile solutions in this setup so I’d expect a lot of swings in guidance. We’re still in clown range anyway but these are the types of patterns you can oscillate between 60F cutters and cold SWFEs until you get inside 6 or 7 days. (In the old days it might do that until 4-5 days out) 

Not sure how good a pattern that is for snow up at WXW2, but I feel pretty confident that we'll be getting below zero quite a bit if that Canada cold press comes through. Last December the village got below zero four times. KSLK got there six times. 

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