Yeoman Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Damn this sucks.. I was really looking forward to my weekend being ruined by rain. 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Damn this sucks.. I was really looking forward to my weekend being ruined by rain. An inch of accumulation is still enough to cancel outdoor stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago For those of you say when a snow storm shifts big inside 96hrs, why’s this never happen with rain storms? Well here ya go. lol 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago I’m staying the course. The storm last month moved inland much further than expected, and yes, I know this is different, but I’m optimistic for an inch plus. Rain, RR. Rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 49 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: I was at Cushwa and now Sapwood. Sapwood recently released cheater x7 and it’s phenomenal. To make this a weather related post……overcast, breezy and kinda chilly this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Big shift west on WB 12K NAM....will post the maps when the run completes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... A coastal low pressure system will take shape off of the Southeast U.S. Coast tonight through midday Saturday, before moving north along the Eastern Seaboard Saturday afternoon through Sunday night. An occasional shower or sprinkles could evolve Saturday into Saturday evening from southeast to northwest across the region. A light to moderate steadier rainfall could arrive in several bands overnight Saturday through Sunday night as the coastal low gets closer to the mid- Atlantic region and nearly stalls. Rain amounts could average 1 to 2 inches along and east of a line from Hagerstown to Warrenton to Fredericksburg. To the west of this line, one-half to three-quarters of an inch. The heaviest rainfall could reach the 3 to 3.5 inch amounts in places. The interaction between the departing area of high pressure off the New England Coast and the coastal low pressure system will result in stronger northeast winds to develop and persist through much of the weekend. An elongated trough of low pressure, accompanied by a few mid-level disturbances, will help to tighten the pressure gradient Saturday through Sunday to result in stronger northeasterly winds. Northeast winds will increase late Saturday night through Sunday afternoon with sustained winds of 10 to 20 mph gusting 25 to 30 mph. Winds could gust 35 to 40 mph over land within a several miles of the Chesapeake Bay shoreline. A big uncertainty remains in the track and intensity of coastal low, simultaneously, as it moves up the coast. Also, to make matters even less certain, is the interaction or phasing of the mid- level disturbances with the coastal low and the exact location of that occurrence. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Breezy and wet conditions likely continue into Monday, and perhaps even into the first half of Tuesday, as the coastal low meanders off the Delmarva Peninsula before eventually pulling further offshore on Tuesday. There seems to be a decent amount of agreement that precipitation should taper off by Tuesday afternoon as the low shift further to the east. However, it remain close enough that winds may still remain elevated for a couple days thereafter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Mount Holly still sticking with the general idea of a high impact event. This little snippet is semi-interesting from their AFD- Guidance will likely continue to struggle and vary from run to run with this system until it actually forms a well defined low pressure center sometime Saturday or Saturday night. All previously issued watches remain in effect at this time due to the continued uncertainty in timing, severity, and inland extent of impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said: I’m staying the course. The storm last month moved inland much further than expected, and yes, I know this is different, but I’m optimistic for an inch plus. Rain, RR. Rain. I’m guaranteeing you 2” if you follow my instructions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Forecasters catching on now. Models mean zip. Look at the radar and other tools. Already a solid east to west movement of rain down the coast . This won’t be missing DC to the east. Sat: Rain developing late . Sat night:Rain , , heavy at times with ne winds increasing 20-30mph Sunday : Rainy and raw with ne winds 20-30 mph, sustained 25-35mph possible, gusts to 40 and gusts to 50 possible, chilly highs 55-60 Monday: Rainy ending in afternoon and windy, DC area rainfall 1-3” Little change in my forecast since Monday 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Comedy. This stuff writes itself. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago WB 18Z ICON, which did well with last coastal, is still a whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Comedy. This stuff writes itself. A couple more runs and we'll be back to sunny and beautiful like the forecast was a few days ago lol. Fingers crossed 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Medium range rug pulls is what our region does best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago It's always complicated. We just can't know...yet 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago So either I'm gonna get 3"+ of rain per the NAM or it's just gonna be cloudy per the ICON. We are so back. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago WB 18Z RDPS ticked east. Looks as bad as ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, IronTy said: So either I'm gonna get 3"+ of rain per the NAM or it's just gonna be cloudy per the ICON. We are so back. We all know that the lowest amount usually verifies... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago HH GFS looks like a slight tick east so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, snowfan said: Sapwood recently released cheater x7 and it’s phenomenal. To make this a weather related post……overcast, breezy and kinda chilly this afternoon. I saw that but didn’t try it. I had the three cask aged bottle pours. GD they do good aged sours. To make this a weather related post…..overcast, breezy and kinda chilly this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 20 minutes ago, CAPE said: HH GFS looks like a slight tick east so far. Would still be a nice soaking rain for most. It’s the best of the options at this point outside the NAM. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago A couple more runs and we'll be back to sunny and beautiful like the forecast was a few days ago lol. Fingers crossedI’m going to Maryland Ren Faire on Sunday! Don’t threaten me with a good time! . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago 5 minutes ago, SoCoWx said: I’m going to Maryland Ren Faire on Sunday! Don’t threaten me with a good time! . You and a million others. I live right down the road from there. The traffic on our little back roads is crazy. If we're not getting a fun storm hopefully we can salvage the weekend. I'm hiking to Annopoils Rocks and Black Rock tomorrow. Looks good as of now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago An inch is still on the table based on the forecast apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago WB 18Z GFS, EURO, and AI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 hours ago, dailylurker said: A couple more runs and we'll be back to sunny and beautiful like the forecast was a few days ago lol. Fingers crossed Now you’ve ensured that it’ll do a 180 and we get the totals from yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago WB 0Z NBM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago WB 18Z RRFS just came out. Good test for the new model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago 22 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z RRFS just came out. Good test for the new model. Wow, I literally called it before you posted these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 19 minutes ago Share Posted 19 minutes ago WB OZ 12K NAM and 3K Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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