OBS for moderate coastal impact Nor'easter Sun-Mon 10/12-13/25 with needed rain everywhere. To minimize any disruptions review NWS warnings-statements.

[MANDA]

Received .43” last 24 hours.  Event total = .59”.  Mist and drizzle ongoing.  Temp 49.  Chilly, damp and raw.  Winds have pulled back from the gustiness of overnight and early this morning.

[psv88]

6 minutes ago, wdrag said:

If this were winter...I'd say wait to crow until midnight tonight.

MUCH more to come today. 1-2", iso heavier coasts and even interior will do ok. 

Convection developing per HRRR - might be quite a nasty afternoon parts of coasts.

Am pretty sure some parts Li and eastern Nj will end up with 4".

CoCoRaHs two day.  .31 Wantage since 5P yesterday.  Two day .4, heading for .6-1.0 three day totals by tomorrow morning. 

Click for more detail.

 

My location and the surrounding PWS in western Suffolk are well over 2”. Localized maximum not showing up on there 

[wdrag]

NJ power outages 15,000+ and growing at 930A

[TJW014]

Ripper of a rain band sitting on top of me now. Up to 2.25"

[wdrag]

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

My location and the surrounding PWS in western Suffolk are well over 2”. Localized maximum not showing up on there 

I believe... it'll all get ironed out tomorrow morning OKX PNS and official climate site data inclusive of CoCoRaHs.  Enjoy the nasty chilly day.

[IrishRob17]

22 minutes ago, snywx said:

.52 here 

sharp cutoff within the county 

Yep, we’ve seen this before, up to .99 now.  Yesterday some were questioning if anything of note would happen north of 95, NW of 287 even though the models had whatever was going to fall coming in overnight. This is pretty much exactly what I’d been expecting IMBY but I know that is subjective and location based. 

[eduggs]

The precipitation gradient or "cut-off" is oriented almost perfectly north to south across our area. It's a little more common to have more of a southwest to northeast orientation to the gradient.

[wdrag]

Tidal: am virtually certain moderate CF develops at Sandy Hook area midday... long duration of minor tidal inundation.  Tides still running 3' above predicted at 940A.  Should make about 8' MLLW there. Not sure what OKX has but follow what ever they have including the datums they select. 

[Sundog]

31 minutes ago, psv88 said:

2.26” and a lot more to come

2.20 here so far, that heavy batch that passed over Queens/Nassau overnight helped me catch up to you guys 

[psv88]

19 minutes ago, Sundog said:

2.20 here so far, that heavy batch that passed over Queens/Nassau overnight helped me catch up to you guys 

Yea that was a meaty band. Squall just blew through and brought me up to 2.44”. Lots of wind in these bands 

[wthrmn654]

The winds are insane now in the 40s gusting to 50s should of kept the wind advisory imo. Tides are very high and low tide just happened few at 10 am. 

[wthrmn654]

Over 230 active individual outages for pseg li with over 3k outages.  The large amount of individual outages is what makes it so much longer to restore. 

[winterwx21]

Only 0.42" here so far. Maybe we get a quarter inch more this afternoon into tonight? At least it's enough to give the vegetable garden a watering, but not nearly enough to bust the drought. I was hoping we'd get a lot more from this storm, but of course the signs were there that the heavier amounts would be to the south and east. 

[wthrmn654]

[mgerb]

6 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Only 0.42" here so far. Maybe we get a quarter inch more this afternoon into tonight? At least it's enough to give the vegetable garden a watering, but not nearly enough to bust the drought. I was hoping we'd get a lot more from this storm, but of course the signs were there that the heavier amounts would be to the south and east. 

0.41" in Somerset (0.53" including Saturday's rain). The cutoff is quite extreme, but this aspect of the event was (eventually) modeled well. Was hoping it might just push a tad further west. Better than nothing though! The drought continues. 

[wthrmn654]

[wthrmn654]

[MANDA]

Interesting satellite loop this morning.  Don't see dual lows like that often.

 

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_OV/loop30v.html

[wthrmn654]

[HeadInTheClouds]

 Got a late start as I only had .08 at midnight but now have 1.62 in the bucket here in Poughkeepsie area. Right now temp 49, breezy, and rain. 

[psv88]

At the boat now and the winds are howling, nice storm down here 

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

My location and the surrounding PWS in western Suffolk are well over 2”. Localized maximum not showing up on there 

Yes and this is a major noreaster.  Noreasters are measured by coastal flooding and winds and while we have not had high wind warning type winds the coastal flooding is very widespread and not just in Freeport.  All the way west by Far Rockaway the water has come up to the shopping mall parking lots and the main roads like Central Avenue.

This storm is no joke!

 

[LibertyBell]

59 minutes ago, Sundog said:

2.20 here so far, that heavy batch that passed over Queens/Nassau overnight helped me catch up to you guys 

Good thing that Columbus Day Parade was canceled.

 

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, wdrag said:

Tidal: am virtually certain moderate CF develops at Sandy Hook area midday... long duration of minor tidal inundation.  Tides still running 3' above predicted at 940A.  Should make about 8' MLLW there. Not sure what OKX has but follow what ever they have including the datums they select. 

Far Rockaway has been inundated with coastal flooding, this is a major noreaster!

[Stormlover74]

27 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Only 0.42" here so far. Maybe we get a quarter inch more this afternoon into tonight? At least it's enough to give the vegetable garden a watering, but not nearly enough to bust the drought. I was hoping we'd get a lot more from this storm, but of course the signs were there that the heavier amounts would be to the south and east. 

Rain seems to be struggling making it past Monmouth and ocean but models have a bit more through tonight so we'll see

[FPizz]

29 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Only 0.42" here so far. Maybe we get a quarter inch more this afternoon into tonight? At least it's enough to give the vegetable garden a watering, but not nearly enough to bust the drought. I was hoping we'd get a lot more from this storm, but of course the signs were there that the heavier amounts would be to the south and east. 

And you have 4x more rain than I've gotten only 13 miles away as the crow flies.  But since I had a freeze, my garden is done, and this doesn't bother me one bit.  

[Brian5671]

bands rotating in from the SE here...off and on light to moderate rain all morning-over 2 inches now

[Cyg]

Rain and gusty winds here in Brick, NJ for a solid 24 hours now. I'll probably take a ride down to Seaside today to see how things are down there.

[TJW014]

I feel the beach erosion along the NJ Shore is going to be a lot worse due to the  more NNE wind component rather a more easterly one. Look at any of the beach webcams and that current is hauling north to south. 

[forkyfork]

18 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Rain seems to be struggling making it past Monmouth and ocean but models have a bit more through tonight so we'll see

frictional convergence is enhancing the rain on the coast with subsidence inland