ScituateWX Posted Thursday at 03:14 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:14 PM 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: 6z EPS members have a bunch tucking in just south of LI. That would be a hell of a storm. Let’s do it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 03:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:17 PM 28 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: yeah it starts out warm core but then transitions quickly. probably why nhc doesn't have a little lemon but then again they do for that feature near the Azores and gave it an Invest Because all hell would break loose doing anything close to classifying a system tropical near the east coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 03:25 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:25 PM 12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Their ideas are so wishy washy on how they classify stuff… it’s pathetic. sometimes the consistency is a bit bizarre 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Because all hell would break loose doing anything close to classifying a system tropical near the east coast. Fair point. Stupid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted Thursday at 03:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:39 PM Or….ten years from now the NWS will reevaluate the storm and then change it to a subtropical storm. No harm done by then 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted Thursday at 03:49 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:49 PM 37 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Their ideas are so wishy washy on how they classify stuff… it’s pathetic. But you never know. Nobody does. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Thursday at 03:59 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 03:59 PM I tend to be a NHC defender on how they classify things, but the last couple of years have been rough for a few NS they’ve either designated or missed. The 2021 October one, which was later called Subtropical Storm Wanda, was pretty wild. Unnamed and hurricane force gusts on the Cape lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM The GFS is really nasty. That's quite the damaging wind signature especially south coast. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 04:19 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:19 PM 19 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I tend to be a NHC defender on how they classify things, but the last couple of years have been rough for a few NS they’ve either designated or missed. The 2021 October one, which was later called Subtropical Storm Wanda, was pretty wild. Unnamed and hurricane force gusts on the Cape lol. That was pretty much a cat 1 south of BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 04:19 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:19 PM 18 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The GFS is really nasty. That's quite the damaging wind signature especially south coast. Kind of weird with the wind and precip shield. Maybe because it matures way SW of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted Thursday at 04:30 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:30 PM 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Kind of weird with the wind and precip shield. Maybe because it matures way SW of here. LBSW has been a possibility 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Thursday at 04:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:39 PM 37 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The GFS is really nasty. That's quite the damaging wind signature especially south coast. Let’s blow and tear down forests with this 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 04:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:39 PM 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: LBSW has been a possibility Yeah meh on that, lets get that S of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Thursday at 04:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:48 PM The GFS is really nasty. That's quite the damaging wind signature especially south coast. Winds get up north of pike?Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Thursday at 05:01 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:01 PM The initial rainfall rates are going to be insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 05:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:18 PM 36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah meh on that, lets get that S of LI. Ryan says it’s pretty nasty….so is it nasty back this way, and not so much out east where you are on that GFS run? Trying to figure out where you two are differing on that run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 05:19 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:19 PM UKMET is wild. Big winds and 6-8" of rain on the coast lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 05:20 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:20 PM Just now, WinterWolf said: Ryan says it’s pretty nasty….so is it nasty back this way, and not so much out east where you are on that GFS run? Trying to figure out where you two are differing on that run? I just thought it looked funky with the winds and precip. It was pretty nasty here, but nothing insane or anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 05:20 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:20 PM Ukie takes a piece of moisture related to Jerry and then blows up a low on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Thursday at 05:23 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 05:23 PM 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ukie takes a piece of moisture related to Jerry and then blows up a low on it. It is happy hour in London. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 05:25 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:25 PM 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: It is happy hour in London. I saw that and was like wtf is it doing? lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 05:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:31 PM Euro AI not far from that, although best winds off the south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 05:36 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:36 PM Meanwhile euro op cancels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Thursday at 05:38 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:38 PM 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro AI not far from that, although best winds off the south coast. 12z Euro to SNJ then heads south.. looks stronger than 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Thursday at 05:38 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:38 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Meanwhile euro op cancels. ya not as good as others but thought it looked a little better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted Thursday at 05:40 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:40 PM 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro AI not far from that, although best winds off the south coast. Imagine that run in January or February. would be sick, 1-2ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:51 PM Euro sucks. I hope it's just another erratic run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted Thursday at 05:56 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:56 PM Zzzzzzz up here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Thursday at 05:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:58 PM Please miss 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 06:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:08 PM 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro sucks. I hope it's just another erratic run. This isn’t that far out…here we go again with the Eurp all over the map run to run. It never use to do that in its hay day. Euro Was the one that sniffed out Sandy a full week ahead of time... while GFS had no clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Thursday at 06:09 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 06:09 PM Just now, WinterWolf said: This isn’t that far out…here we go again with the Eurp all over the map run to run. It never use to do that in its hay day. Euro Was the one that sniffed out Sandy a full week ahead of time... while GFS had no clue. Euro is just another model now. Has been for years as you know. Also, hope all is well man. Good to have you back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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