WxUSAF Posted yesterday at 12:19 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:19 PM 8 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: 12z ICON bring a soaking 1.5" - 2.5" of rainfall to just about the entire subforum starting late in the weekend. 6z euro was close to the area. Much farther north than 0z. 12z gfs soaks the eastern parts of the area, but brutal gradient for DC and points west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted yesterday at 12:49 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 12:49 PM 29 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 6z euro was close to the area. Much farther north than 0z. 12z gfs soaks the eastern parts of the area, but brutal gradient for DC and points west. Then the coastal just meanders south towards Florida. Wacky evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 01:46 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:46 PM I'm hugging the ICON for the upcoming storm. It nailed the track of the last coastal. (WB 12Z: about .25 is for Wed.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 02:00 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:00 PM WB 12Z EURO...looks like ICON. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted yesterday at 02:25 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:25 PM 27 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO...looks like ICON. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 02:34 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:34 PM WB 12Z EPS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted yesterday at 02:38 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:38 PM Big jump on the euro suite 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 23 hours ago Author Share Posted 23 hours ago Man if that primary would be diving into Kentucky instead of across Michigan this storm would probably dump a ton of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago https://twitter.com/burgwx/status/1975729785394635218?s=46&t=JYOHM881b6groqc0-RqtxA 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 7 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: Man if that primary would be diving into Kentucky instead of across Michigan this storm would probably dump a ton of snow Change one word and this is a winter post verbatim, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 7 hours ago Author Share Posted 7 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago We basically want the northern energy to capture the southern low as soon as possible. That keeps the pinwheeling cutoff mostly over land and drenches us. If the capture happens too late or the whole longwave pattern shifts a bit east, we may be mostly dry. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago No matter the track, this is probably really impactful at the coast. Will leave it to you all to start a thread (or not). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The GFS looks a little more like the Euro this run. Brutal cutoff DC/NW but hits the lowlands and NE MD pretty good with 2-3" of rain and strong winds. Man.. if it was winter JI would be melting down lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago WB 12Z Day 5 rain totals for the globals. ICON (shifted back west); GFS still DC eastward; Canadian is Day 6 because it is slower; AI a tick west of 6Z and also slower like Canadian so also Day 6.; EURO is a solid hit for everyone and would cause flooding on the shore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago WB 12Z ICON upper level low track is much further SE and stronger than the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago WB 12Z GEFS; hug P24 if you are west of 95; 3% chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 35 minutes ago Share Posted 35 minutes ago WB 12z EURO at Day 5; old-fashioned nor'easter.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 32 minutes ago Share Posted 32 minutes ago WB 12Z EPS supports the global at Day 5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 28 minutes ago Share Posted 28 minutes ago 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12z EURO at Day 5; old-fashioned nor'easter.... Note to our younger members - we haven't had one in so long you might not know what one of these is. We used to get these from time to time and generally involves wind and rain/snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 11 minutes ago Share Posted 11 minutes ago Ok, just to start getting warmed up for winter, some WB 12Z EPS probability maps: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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