Prismshine Productions Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Days are getting shorter, nights are getting colder, who knows what weathers in order... One thing is guaranteed, however, its Spooky Season! 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 A bit of a mild down on the 1st and 2nd. GFS is teasing us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 2 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: A bit of a mild down on the 1st and 2nd. GFS is teasing us. we cool Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 61. North wind 6 to 9 mph. Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 36. North wind around 6 mph. Thursday Sunny, with a high near 59. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph. Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 35. Calm wind. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 70’s Fri thru weekend . Never ending summer modeled 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 70’s Fri thru weekend . Never ending summer modeled have you looked at a model? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 26 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: have you looked at a model? Put the long range GFS away . Even own ensembles don’t agree . You fall in love with with ops 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 We’d-Friday look to be in the low to mid 60’s here for highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: 70’s Fri thru weekend . Never ending summer modeled For most, yes, at least low 70’s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 7 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Put the long range GFS away . Even own ensembles don’t agree . You fall in love with with ops Let me know how your extended summer beach trip is.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 28 Author Share Posted September 28 CFS really locked in stien... Just 2" precip the ENTIRE MONTHSent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 That's a goodly warm signal showing up there thru October 10ish. It's gotten coherent in the operational runs as well - in fact, they led the ens derived telecon spread as the latter had been flatter. Now both with +height anomaly. we'll see. Not sure on amplitude but seein' as we've seen 80 between Nov 1 and Nov 10, twice in the last 4 years, I don't doubt it happening a month earlier in Octobers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 wow, that's the best warm signal I've seen all year now that I dig in a bit. man. All agencies in on it too. You have weather bell with a -EPO/-D(PNA), in spatial temporal sync with a +NAO. Meanwhile ... over at the rotated principle component analysis version at CPA ( not to charm you with dialect or nothin' ) the -D(PNA) is in complete ballistic downward trajectory. It drops like 3 sigmas in 5 days in the first week of the month. If this were July we'd really really roast. Not sure about the first week of October with slant sun, though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 Nicest August ever, September ever, let's make it a three-peat for October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: wow, that's the best warm signal I've seen all year now that I dig in a bit. man. All agencies in on it too. You have weather bell with a -EPO/-D(PNA), in spatial temporal sync with a +NAO. Meanwhile ... over at the rotated principle component analysis version at CPA ( not to charm you with dialect or nothin' ) the -D(PNA) is in complete ballistic downward trajectory. It drops like 3 sigmas in 5 days in the first week of the month. If this were July we'd really really roast. Not sure about the first week of October with slant sun, though. Probably lock that in all winter too. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 15 minutes ago, kdxken said: Nicest August ever, September ever, let's make it a three-peat for October. 11 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Probably lock that in all winter too. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 Summer keeps rolling. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 he's baaaccckkkk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 Literally not a drop next 14 days 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 Ensembles and weeklies are a very very warm month. Hope that changes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 Would be nice to to run the heat or AC much for a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ensembles and weeklies are a very very warm month. Hope that changes Why? Sounds perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 28 Share Posted September 28 Felt like September absolutely flew by. Outside of the severe we had early in the month, what a boring month. But things changing quickly, leaves turning and starting to drop like flies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted September 29 Share Posted September 29 10 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said: CFS really locked in stien... Just 2" precip the ENTIRE MONTH Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 29 Share Posted September 29 Just found this guy. Seems reasonable 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29 Share Posted September 29 11 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: wow, that's the best warm signal I've seen all year now that I dig in a bit. man. That sounds about right as we head into the lower sun angle time of year. Mother Nature loves prolonging the sweet spot of temperatures in the 60-80F range as long as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 29 Share Posted September 29 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That sounds about right as we head into the lower sun angle time of year. Mother Nature loves prolonging the sweet spot of temperatures in the 60-80F range as long as possible. I really don’t like this but if there’s a saving grace hopefully we snap back to troughing as we get closer to November. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29 Share Posted September 29 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I really don’t like this but if there’s a saving grace hopefully we snap back to troughing as we get closer to November. My feeling is that it isn't going to snow anyway, and it's getting darker earlier, so I enjoy the nice weather being outside as much as possible. My energy bill appreciates it with no AC or Heat. By early to mid November, I'm game for sustained normal to below weather for snowmaking. Have a full month+ though before it starts to matter. 48F and rain doesn't do much for me. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 29 Share Posted September 29 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: My feeling is that it isn't going to snow anyway, and it's getting darker earlier, so I enjoy the nice weather being outside as much as possible. My energy bill appreciates it with no AC or Heat. By early to mid November, I'm game for sustained normal to below weather for snowmaking. Have a full month+ though before it starts to matter. 48F and rain doesn't do much for me. I love fall and being in the Goldilocks zone for wx this time of year, so I’m with you on decent warmth—I just don’t like the upper level look. I want to see step downs. We keep saying these warm falls are fine and then I’m looking at +2 DJF and 30% of snow climo on March 15. I guess you could say I’m spooked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 29 Share Posted September 29 21 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I love fall and being in the Goldilocks zone for wx this time of year, so I’m with you on decent warmth—I just don’t like the upper level look. I want to see step downs. We keep saying these warm falls are fine and then I’m looking at +2 DJF and 30% of snow climo on March 15. I guess you could say I’m spooked Yeah, it's been a nice step down so far, but I agree that the upper level pattern looks to buck that trend in the long term. It wants to ridge out instead of the up and down of this month so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowedin Posted September 29 Share Posted September 29 15 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: That Christmas was something else. I remember looking for the switch for the a/c that morning and then realizing we’d turned it off nearly 2 months prior! That day was the definition of torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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