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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum


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Models bring back the mid to perhaps upper 80s again going forward for the usual warm spots. Much drier pattern returns as the recent rains were just a blip in the expanding drought pattern.

The cool departures will begin shrinking. If we get a warmer Sep 21 to 30, then the month could finish with a + departure. 
 

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15 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Are the overall anomalies being affected by higher low temps?

I don't see any temps higher than upper 70s on the EPS.

The EPS longer range was too cool for yesterday. It originally had mid 70s from its older forecasts. But the warm spots it to the low 80s yesterday.

 

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Data for September 11, 2025 through September 11, 2025
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 83
NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 82
Newark Area ThreadEx 82
TRENTON-MERCER AIRPORT WBAN 81
Trenton Area ThreadEx 81
MILLVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT WBAN 80
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP WBAN 80
TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 80
CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 80
SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 80
Atlantic City Area ThreadEx 80
PENNSAUKEN 1N COOP 80
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64 / 56 another dry  / warm day as we erode the early month below normal with a period of warmer than normal.   Center ridge a bit east keeping the cut off / ULL away and the area dry through the week.  Overall warmer period with max temps in the mid 80s in the warmest spots othwerwise upper 70s to low 80s.

 

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