August 2025 General Discussion

[CheeselandSkies]

Looks like we might be in for another round of hydrologic issues at some point this coming weekend. 0Z 3K NAM is suggesting Saturday night for the most widespread/long duration convection but that is still pretty far out in its range. @madwx

[Geoboy645]

9 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said:

Looks like we might be in for another round of hyrdologic issues at some point this coming weekend. 0Z 3K NAM is suggesting Saturday night for the most widespread/long duration convection but that is still pretty far out in its range. @madwx

Yeah MKX is really highlighting the potential for multiple rounds of rainfall pretty much every night from tonight through Tuesday next week, depending on where the mesoscale boundaries and such line up. This could get interesting fast around here, as thanks to last weeks rain we can't really tank a couple inches of rain again. And anything E of the Rock would be a huge concern given all the flooding in Milwaukee and fact that the rivers have mostly just fallen out of flood stage. These types of events with a stationary boundary sitting across the state have really hurt in the past (2018,2007). Hopefully it will not be to that level at all, but considering what happened lsat week I'm not all that confident to say the least.

[CheeselandSkies]

5 hours ago, Geoboy645 said:

Yeah MKX is really highlighting the potential for multiple rounds of rainfall pretty much every night from tonight through Tuesday next week, depending on where the mesoscale boundaries and such line up. This could get interesting fast around here, as thanks to last weeks rain we can't really tank a couple inches of rain again. And anything E of the Rock would be a huge concern given all the flooding in Milwaukee and fact that the rivers have mostly just fallen out of flood stage. These types of events with a stationary boundary sitting across the state have really hurt in the past (2018,2007). Hopefully it will not be to that level at all, but considering what happened lsat week I'm not all that confident to say the least.

12Z HRRR and 3K NAM could hardly be more different with the timing and placement of convection over WI over the next 48 hours. 

[CheeselandSkies]

Those CAMs are insistent on killing off the would-be Round 1 for us, the cluster currently pushing east through northeastern Iowa, as it crosses the MS later this afternoon/early evening, but it seems to have already persisted longer than those depictions.

[Spartman]

19 hours ago, roardog said:

This weekend/early next week might actually bring you some organized widespread convection for a change.

TWC/Wunderground's going hog crazy with at least an inch of rain for tomorrow night into Sunday. Barely any of the models are even near that much.