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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability


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58 minutes ago, Sundog said:

All these years (20+) on weather forums and this is the first time I'm hearing about the WBGT. 

 

The bottom line is that the heat stress on the body has been increasing no matter what index or scale you are using when the dew points and temperatures keep rising.

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30 minutes ago, TWCCraig said:

86/79

These dew points have been absolutely insane. Day after day it's 70+. Floridian humidity on a daily basis

Changed my plans today for water park to big snow. It’s unbearable even for a water park. I was working on my veggie garden this morning and was drenched in sweat in 20 minutes. 

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2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Changed my plans today for water park to big snow. It’s unbearable even for a water park. I was working on my veggie garden this morning and was drenched in sweat in 20 minutes. 

I planeted a tomato plant and a jalapeño plant in a raised garden. It’s doing ok so far. Got them at Home Depot lol 

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42 minutes ago, Picard said:

80°+ dewpoints used to be rare.  Now its quite common to find them when perusing the maps or various station observations.  

Very impressive for the NW corner of NJ to be getting close to 80° dew points. Has been happening quite a bit in recent years. New all-time highs for FWN. Action Park was my favorite place to go during the summers back in the 1980s. The dew points were much more comfortable in Sussex County back in those days.

IMG_4116.thumb.png.19e20922d1fe947fc0ef7069c55d38f8.png
 

IMG_4117.thumb.png.6bb12ef22dbfa4220018417829baeb7a.png

IMG_4118.thumb.png.33863e49ad147bb5b5918962e5cc2d1b.png

 

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3 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

July is just brutal around here these days---AC on non stop.    Sun angle still strong.  August usually gives us a bit of break

In urban areas I feel august is way worse. It's been baking for too long and all the concrete retains the heat. Plus the humidity is just as bad as July. 

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1 minute ago, anthonymm said:

In urban areas I feel august is way worse. It's been baking for too long and all the concrete retains the heat. Plus the humidity is just as bad as July. 

yeah I hear you-out here it's usually a bit better and the sun angle is lower...I remember a few days last year with temps in the mid to high 70's second half of the month

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6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

yeah I hear you-out here it's usually a bit better and the sun angle is lower...I remember a few days last year with temps in the mid to high 70's second half of the month

Our first “nip in the air” is usually early September where I live. But just to echo how ridiculous this humidity is day after day. We shouldn’t constantly be over 75 dewpoints. 

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2 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Our first “nip in the air” is usually early September where I live. But just to echo how ridiculous this humidity is day after day. We shouldn’t constantly be over 75 dewpoints. 

Yep.   To think around here the homes were built in the 50's-70's with no central air b/c it was not needed.  Now it's a necessity.

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41 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Very impressive for the NW corner of NJ to be getting close to 80° dew points. Has been happening quite a bit in recent years. New all-time highs for FWN. Action Park was my favorite place to go during the summers back in the 1980s. The dew points were much more comfortable in Sussex County back in those days.

 

 

Agreed.  We had our humid days, but never to this extent.  And there is definitely a big difference when the dewpoint is 70 vs. 78.  I always found 70ish tolerable.  I'm going to wager a guess that the actual amount of moisture in the air grows exponentially as the dewpoint value increases (as opposed to linear growth which wouldn't have as dramatic an effect).

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3 hours ago, Sundog said:

I personally don't look at the heat index, I just go by the dewpoint number. I already know exactly how every dewpoint temperature feels to me, so I know what to expect. 

I also take into account if it's cloudy, if it's really breezy, etc. 

that is why you should move to phoenix if there is no monsoon dewpoints are tolerable in the summer..

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37 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

As if we didn't know...

Next week's heat pulse won't be as hot as the June shot we had perhaps...

 

I was going to joke how NYC's urban heat island has expanded to a third the size of the United States because only concrete apparently is responsible for elevated lows (nevermind the fact that UHI has been baked into the averages for decades) but your post is very informative so I didn't want to reduce it down to a joke. 

Just give me lower dewpoint temps PLEASE, I'll take mid 90s until the end of August if I can just keep dews under 55. 

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12 minutes ago, BobbyHolikWillFindYou said:

My zucchinis are comically large this year. And the single jalapeno that grew on my plant is the size of my fist. 

My tomatoes just won't grow this year. Got actual tomatoes but the plant just won't grow.  Peppers are very slow.  My zucchini, pumpkin, cantaloupe and sweet potatoes are exploding.  My corn is rebounding after squirrel damaged 5 stalks. 

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3 minutes ago, Sundog said:

I was going to joke how NYC's urban heat island has expanded to a third the size of the United States because only concrete apparently is responsible for elevated lows (nevermind the fact that UHI has been baked into the averages for decades) but your post is very informative so I didn't want to reduce it down to a joke. 

Just give me lower dewpoint temps PLEASE, I'll take mid 90s until the end of August if I can just keep dews under 55. 

That's a good joke, haha.  NYC's UHI took over the NE.

The anomalies on the lows in the NE are off the chart though, makes for a very hot summer, as we are experiencing.  I think Bluewave posted the map where most of the NE is having a top 5 warmest July, which isn't a surprise with lows being so warm overall to normal.  It's really a continuation of the high DP pattern we've been having ever summer now.

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23 minutes ago, Picard said:

Agreed.  We had our humid days, but never to this extent.  And there is definitely a big difference when the dewpoint is 70 vs. 78.  I always found 70ish tolerable.  I'm going to wager a guess that the actual amount of moisture in the air grows exponentially as the dewpoint value increases (as opposed to linear growth which wouldn't have as dramatic an effect).

Yeah, this is why we have been observing such a steep increase in extreme rainfall and flooding in recent years.

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10083550/#:~:text=Meteorologists use the Clausius–Clapeyron,a 1 °C rise.

The equation shows how warmer air can hold more moisture, which is crucial to forecast the increased strength of storms and the higher intensity of rainfall. “A key point about this equation is that it has an exponential in there,” says Peter Stott, a climate scientist at the UK Met Office. “An exponential curve, of course, goes up more steeply the further up you get. So quite quickly as temperature increases, you get into large numbers for additional rainfall.”

So, the equation points at a wetter future. But as researchers are learning, that’s only the beginning. Future storms may produce even more rain than the venerable equation predicts.

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33 minutes ago, Sundog said:

I was going to joke how NYC's urban heat island has expanded to a third the size of the United States because only concrete apparently is responsible for elevated lows (nevermind the fact that UHI has been baked into the averages for decades) but your post is very informative so I didn't want to reduce it down to a joke. 

Just give me lower dewpoint temps PLEASE, I'll take mid 90s until the end of August if I can just keep dews under 55. 

you will get a dewpoint  break friday into saturday enjoy it i will..

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