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July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability


wdrag
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Summer variability as outlooked 6/24...  nothing outrageous outlooked as the ridge locks in near the Rockies with troughing in the east. Implies brief hot incursions with frontal passages seemingly progressive.  Heaviest rain axis continues outlooked Appalachians to the Mississippi -Ohio Valley.  

Modeling doesn't pick up excesses very well beyond 10 days.

Guidance suggests a warmer than normal month in our area.

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