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June 2025 Obs/Disco


Torch Tiger
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21 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Exact opposite here - short sleeves all year when inside and no shorts as we're in the midst of tick-y forest.  Purchased some shorts recently, but that's for all the PT work following my knee replacement surgery on 6/23.

Checked radar about 8:20 to see if putting the recycling down the road to the pickup spot and saw almost nothing.  10 minutes after I'd taken the stuff down, little showers popped up and have continued to do so, with low 50s.  Soggy cardboard for the loss.

With no arms covered it’s far too cold for tshirts in winter . But shorts season generally is Morch 1- Thanksgiving . Where it’s warm enough outside for just hoodies, long sleeves with shorts. I couldn’t imagine wearing dungarees in summer/ warm season . Ever 

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39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

With no arms covered it’s far too cold for tshirts in winter . But shorts season generally is Morch 1- Thanksgiving . Where it’s warm enough outside for just hoodies, long sleeves with shorts. I couldn’t imagine wearing dungarees in summer/ warm season . Ever 

I couldn’t imagine using the term dungarees post 1980.  

I caved and wore jeans yesterday but in general, with the exception of teaching my course on Fridays I’m shorts May-September save for any formal events like weddings or funerals.  

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But that’s been an issue. The PNA has already been negative … at least numerically.  

It just has been repeatingly failing to manifest in the daily patterns. There’s been a bit anti-correlative standing persistence.  

So for the next week … it rises but doesn’t quite neutralize before collapsing way out there but based on the above failure trend? … doesn’t lend confidence. 

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3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

But that’s been an issue. The PNA has already been negative … at least numerically.  

It just has been repeatingly failing to manifest in the daily patterns. There’s been a bit anti-correlative standing persistence.  

So for the next week … it rises but doesn’t quite neutralize before collapsing way out there but bass in the above failure trend … doesn’t lend confidence. 

Rockies ridge has screwed us. Looks like those heights reverse a bit.

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2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

With no arms covered it’s far too cold for tshirts in winter . But shorts season generally is Morch 1- Thanksgiving . Where it’s warm enough outside for just hoodies, long sleeves with shorts. I couldn’t imagine wearing dungarees in summer/ warm season . Ever 

We're all different, of course.  I'm more tolerant of cold than are normal people, and have had friends say to me, "Please put on a jacket.  I'm cold."

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Extended 12z GFS looks decidedly more typical -PNA constructive over the lower 48.  Totally different over the NE Pac by abolishing the erstwhile anachronistically powerful polar jet around that Aleutian December low that it's been selling up there. Abruptly replaced with a more climate seasonal break down/flaccidity to the flow.  This sets up vastly different forcing across the downstream continent.

For one, stopping Pac jet intrusion downstream along 40N. Immediately we see the -PNAP with higher height responses, more consistent with -PNA correlation.  

So we'll see... it's not the first time we've seen an attempt at this since late April and it's been not doing very well at verifying -

 

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