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June 2025 Obs/Disco


Torch Tiger
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3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Wildfire smoke has made it here . Lost the deep blues from earlier . Reminds me of two summers ago 

If you look at the HRRR smoke model and make an reasonable interpretation through 48 hours, looks like we get the worst of the smoke on starting late Tuesday into Wednesday.  This is 1PM Tuesday, with all that stuff steadily heading west...

Screenshot 2025-06-01 at 20-46-06 Models HRRR — Pivotal Weather.png

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3 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

Yeah most of us are looking forward to the gorgeous warmth and dews. month after month, it's great

I definitely feel confident we're getting away from these closed off lows and below normal temps, but the foreseeable future does not look super hot or humid.  Definitely a few AN days this upcoming week, but longer term it's looking mostly seasonable here, maybe a couple of degrees above normal through the rest of June into early July - with the usual spikes and valleys in temps.

CanSIPS has us slightly above normal next three months, with all the AN heat being confined to the west and and in Canada.  Southeast US is below normal.  Not the look you want for extended amounts of temps and dews.

My call right now is no heat wave (5 days consecutive 90+) for Southern New England through June.  Northern New England has better chances at it...

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13 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

I definitely feel confident we're getting away from these closed off lows and below normal temps, but the foreseeable future does not look super hot or humid.  Definitely a few AN days this upcoming week, but longer term it's looking mostly seasonable here, maybe a couple of degrees above normal through the rest of June into early July - with the usual spikes and valleys in temps.

CanSIPS has us slightly above normal next three months, with all the AN heat being confined to the west and and in Canada.  Southeast US is below normal.  Not the look you want for extended amounts of temps and dews.

My call right now is no heat wave (5 days consecutive 90+) for Southern New England through June.  Northern New England has better chances at it...

Yeah seasonably warm, that's what I was saying. We agree. I know your area can be cooler relative to most of the region, but overall looks near to slightly above the next couple weeks.

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On 5/28/2025 at 7:34 PM, ineedsnow said:

yup and by the end of the month days will be getting shorter again 

The only good news.

The weather's so amazing right now it's darn depressing that it could be months before it happens again, but I remember seeing a couple of overcast days with highs in the 60s last summer, so... Hey, that's one reason I moved here.

Those projected mid-week temperatures are a big yikes. Feel like I've gone back to the south.

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30 minutes ago, WinterSnow said:

The only good news.

The weather's so amazing right now it's darn depressing that it could be months before it happens again, but I remember seeing a couple of overcast days with highs in the 60s last summer, so... Hey, that's one reason I moved here.

Those projected mid-week temperatures are a big yikes. Feel like I've gone back to the south.

Mid 80's and low 90's have never been uncommon in New England during the summer months over the last 150 years.  The biggest increases have been in dewpoints and low temps over the last several decades. If you moved here expecting 60's and 70's during the summer... well... we aren't Canada... :P

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it's been interesting observing this unseasonable trough protect our region from smoke.  The larger synoptic circulation associate with has kind of rampart the outside environment from getting into the interior trough axis.   

Folks may wanna keep in mind that today is the last day of said protecting... Not sure how/if smoke may factor into these "warm" days this week.  MOS/machine guidance appears reasonable to me - normally I'd go a tick or two above during a recovery period in early Junes but trend to always be on the lowest side of correlations ( since last December really... ) always seems to find a way to perpetuate itself and this rendition it grabs a hold of smoke to perhaps keep us from making the illustrious 90 mark Wed/Thur  haha.   I mean like this spring's comically deducing means to prevent heat from materializing - despite the verified numbers ( relatively...)

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1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

it's been interesting observing this unseasonable trough protect our region from smoke.  The larger synoptic circulation associate with has kind of rampart the outside environment from getting into the interior trough axis.   

Folks may wanna keep in mind that today is the last day of said protecting... Not sure how/if smoke may factor into these "warm" days this week.  MOS/machine guidance appears reasonable to me - normally I'd go a tick or two above during a recovery period in early Junes but trend to always be on the lowest side of correlations ( since last December really... ) always seems to find a way to perpetuate itself and I could see smoke keeping us from the illustrious 90 mark Wed/Thur

Smoke ‘em’ if you got em’?

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