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Weekend Drought Buster?


dailylurker
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Euro showing storms entering the area early afternoon and then multiple guidance showing storms as we head into the late evening. For tomorrow, it appears there’s a chance the afternoon is more dry than wet so might be able to salvage some time outdoors. 

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1 hour ago, aldie 22 said:

This all feels familiar 

Highest rainfall totals have shifted well North of the area into NE PA. and Eastern New York state. Of course things could change locally with heavier storms. Feels like a summer morning out there already with temp of 72 and DP of 64  

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1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

6z euro consistent with 1-2” area wide. Not a drought buster but much needed.

The Euro mid range high QPF thing seems to be real and I wonder if it's a result of a recent tweak or software update.

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58 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

Could the WAR kill our storm chances tonight?

IMG_3495.thumb.png.df0f3f34e98b8aa23bb2c4464a064768.png.c5ba288fb6f11f7a627899c95f27c5eb.png

 

For today most of the action is West of us. 

WPC rainfall for Day one 

fill_94qwbg.gif.311b8e909f8ba72b117965622a8c0a61.gif

 

 

 

 

 

 

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2 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Looks like a dry hot weekend on tap. I don't buy the euro. Alway go with the least stormy model. Congrats NY on the drought buster.

Nah we're getting rain, the drier models have fluke written all over it.

 

This is just winter PTSD clouding judgement.

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Just now, Hank Scorpio said:

Nice little storm moving through Loudoun. Bit of wind, some pea sized hail, heavy rain, and a few claps of thunder. 

 

Hopefully just the start of a stormy stretch for the area.

Didn't stop the cliff jumpers though.

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1 hour ago, dailylurker said:

Looks like a dry hot weekend on tap. I don't buy the euro. Alway go with the least stormy model. Congrats NY on the drought buster.

Euro not good at times. I have not looked at the latest run. 

Meanwhil,e the WPC has trimmed back rainfall totals even more in its latest update, especially the Tidewater region. when you look at your local forecast and see odds of rain at 70 % equaling a tenth of an inch, pretty sad.    

 

 

1907101995_p168i(26).gif.678c16dbcedb6c9296d3e88108d72361.gif

 

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56 minutes ago, frd said:

Euro not good at times. I have not looked at the latest run. 

Meanwhil,e the WPC has trimmed back rainfall totals even more in its latest update, especially the Tidewater region. when you look at your local forecast and see odds of rain at 70 % equaling a tenth of an inch, pretty sad.    

 

 

1907101995_p168i(26).gif.678c16dbcedb6c9296d3e88108d72361.gif

 

Flukes gonna fluke. This time will be our time to score, the walkbacks are a mirage.

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Severe Thunderstorm Watch until Sat 10:00 pm

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 219 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

IN MARYLAND THIS WATCH INCLUDES 11 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL MARYLAND

ANNE ARUNDEL, HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES

IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND

CARROLL, FREDERICK WASHINGTON

IN NORTHEAST MARYLAND

CECIL

IN NORTHERN MARYLAND

BALTIMORE BALTIMORE CITY HARFORD

IN VIRGINIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 20 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA

CITY OF FREDERICKSBURG GREENE, ORANGE SPOTSYLVANIA

IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA

ARLINGTON CITY OF ALEXANDRIA CITY OF FAIRFAX CITY OF FALLS CHURCH CITY OF MANASSAS CITY OF MANASSAS PARK CULPEPER, FAIRFAX FAUQUIER, LOUDOUN PRINCE WILLIAM STAFFORD

IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA

CLARKE, MADISON RAPPAHANNOCK, WARREN

IN WEST VIRGINIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 COUNTY

IN PANHANDLE WEST VIRGINIA

JEFFERSON

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ABERDEEN, ALEXANDRIA, ANNAPOLIS, ARLINGTON, ARNOLD, ASPEN HILL, BALLENGER CREEK, BALTIMORE, BEL AIR, BERRYVILLE, BETHESDA, BOWIE, CAMP SPRINGS, CATONSVILLE, CHANTILLY, CHARLES TOWN, CLINTON, COLLEGE PARK, COLUMBIA, CULPEPER, DUNDALK, EDGEWOOD, ELDERSBURG, ELKTON, ELLICOTT CITY, ESSEX, FAIRFAX, FALLS CHURCH, FALLSTON, FALMOUTH, FREDERICK, FREDERICKSBURG, FRONT ROYAL, GAITHERSBURG, GERMANTOWN, GLEN BURNIE, GORDONSVILLE, GREENBELT, HAGERSTOWN, HAVRE DE GRACE, HERNDON, JOPPATOWNE, LAUREL, LEESBURG, MADISON, MANASSAS, MANASSAS PARK, MCLEAN, ODENTON, ORANGE, PARKVILLE, PIKESVILLE, POTOMAC, RANDALLSTOWN, RESTON, ROCKVILLE, SEVERN, SEVERNA PARK, SHEPHERDSTOWN, SILVER SPRING, SOUTH GATE, SPOTSYLVANIA COURTHOUSE, STANARDSVILLE, STERLING, SUITLAND-SILVER HILL, TOWSON, WARRENTON, WASHINGTON, WASHINGTON, WESTMINSTER, AND WOODBRIDGE.
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