April 2025 Discussion/Obs

[lee59]

70 the high here, now 61

[jm1220]

Should be nice down to the shoreline tomorrow with NW offshore wind, though might still be gusty. 

[SACRUS]

PA storms

 

 

[Brian5671]

45 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

PA storms

 

 

wonder if any of that survives the trip

[Picard]

43 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

PA storms

 

That's going to be exciting in a couple of hours if that holds together.  Derecho?
That line had it's origins at least as far back as western Ohio.

[Stormlover74]

2 minutes ago, Picard said:

That's going to be exciting in a couple of hours if that holds together.  Derecho?
That line had it's origins at least as far back as western Ohio.

Supposed to die out

[Picard]

18 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Supposed to die out

I could see that, with the fading sunlight and moving into drier air. 
Be nice to get some showers out of it though.  Wouldn't be a bad thing.  

[steve392]

So is this the new norm for our area, having constant wildfire alerts daily?? 

[Picard]

9 minutes ago, steve392 said:

So is this the new norm for our area, having constant wildfire alerts daily?? 

Well, when you have a consistent pattern of many storms staying well north and west of the area, combined with high winds and low humidity, yes.
And this will only get worse as we head further into spring or summer, unless we have a consistent pattern change or get lucky with a couple of super soaker events.

[jm1220]

22 year old was killed in State College PA yesterday in the severe T-storms. Tragic. That bow echo looked pretty intense going through the area. Lots of downed tree reports. 30000+ without power in State College area as well. 

https://www.wtaj.com/news/local-news/man-electrocuted-killed-after-storm-damaged-lines-in-centre-county/

[dseagull]

9 hours ago, steve392 said:

So is this the new norm for our area, having constant wildfire alerts daily?? 

Nothing new about it.  The only thing that is relatively new is constant "in your face" media and social media.  

Research the 1963 pine barrens fires.  Research many of the other seasons with massive fires. The recent fire down here just has everyone on edge, and social media won't drop it. 

 

When you have droughts (1961-1966, 1998-2002, as examples,) all it takes is one idiot with a discarded cigarette, one arsonist, or one lightning strike as a catalyst for major fires.   Add in some wind, and voila.

 

Social media sometimes makes things seem unprecedented.... Don't fall for the nonsense.  This is nothing new.   Unfortunately, the new warning systems often act as alerts for arsonists to go out and wreak havoc (as mentioned in multiple state agency documents.)

[IrishRob17]

On 4/24/2025 at 3:27 PM, LibertyBell said:

Your hottest day so far this year, Rob?

 

 

On 4/24/2025 at 3:51 PM, IrishRob17 said:

Affirmative.

Negative, I was mistaken. I was just looking over Aprils stats and see I had 4 days of highs in the 80s with the highest of 86 on 4/19. 

[bluewave]

19 hours ago, Dark Star said:

Windier?  Its been windy for at least the last 9 years...

While it has been windier in recent years, this year is the new high average wind gust leader from January through April at nearly 35mph for the first time.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=140&network=NJ_ASOS&station=EWR&syear=1900&sday=0101&eday=0429&varname=avg_wind_gust&w=none&thres=1&year=2025&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

 

[Brian5671]

Euro/CMC wet early next week with 3-5 inches of rain-GFS meanwhile is nothing like that with a progressive pattern

[bluewave]

11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Euro/CMC wet early next week with 3-5 inches of rain-GFS meanwhile is nothing like that with a progressive pattern

The GFS has really been struggling in recent months. So my guess is that it will eventually move toward the less progressive Euro and CMC. But not sure if it will actually be quite as wet as those 3-5” forecasts since models struggle with cutoff low locations. Will be important to watch since a wetter pattern heading into the summer could tamp down any 100° heat potential for NJ and push back against a 2022 repeat. 

[SACRUS]

 

73 / 60  pollen up to 6 inhes on cars.   48 hours of nice dry weather 70s today, near 70 Thursday.   Friday looks to begin a stretch of clouds, showers and at times onshore much cooler weather.  The caveat is where the cutoff we have been tracking sets up.  Rainfall forecasts will vary but looking like 2 - 4 inches between 5/2 - 5/6.  Beyond there still a tendency for torughing into the NE but near normal.  

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

 

EWR: 91 (1942)
NYC: 91 (1942)
LGA: 89 (1942)
JFK: 81 (2007)


Lows:

EWR: 34 (1931)
NYC: 32 (1874)
LGA: 42 (20140
JFK: 40 (1975)


Historical:

 

1852 - A tornado, following the same track as the famous "Tri-state Tornado" of 1925, struck the town of New Harmony IND. Just sixteen persons were killed by the twister, due to the sparse settlement. The "Tri-state Tornado" killed 695 persons. (David Ludlum)

 

1888: 246 people died in the world's deadliest hailstorm in India. Hailstones were reportedly the size of baseballs. 1600 domesticated animals at Moradabad perished.

 

1924: A significant tornado outbreak occurred from Alabama to Virginia on the 29 through the 30th. 26 tornadoes were of F2 intensity or greater. A total of 111 people were killed, and over 1,100 injured. An estimated F4 tornado tore through Steedman and Horrell Hill, SC. This tornado killed 55 people.

1953 - A tornado 300 yards in width leveled homes on the north side of Warner-Robins GA, and barracks on the south side of the Warner-Robins Air Force Base. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in Idaho, Utah, Wyoming and Montana. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 100 mph in Lincoln, Mineral and Sanders counties. Twenty-three cities in the central and southeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Memphis TN was the hot spot in the nation with a record high of 94 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A cold front produced high winds in the southwestern U.S. Winds gusting to 90 mph in southwestern Utah downed power lines, and damaged trees and outbuildings. The high winds also downed power lines in Nevada, completely knocking out power in the town of Henderson. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in central and eastern Texas. Hail three inches in diameter was reported at Cool, and thunderstorm winds gusted to 80 mph at Hillsboro. For the first time of record Oklahoma City went through the entire month of April without a single thunderstorm. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) (The Weather Channel)

1990 - Late afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in southern Virginia and the Carolinas, with tennis ball size hail reported southeast of Chesnee SC. Thunderstorms moving over the Chesapeake Bay flooded U.S. Highway 50 on Kent Island MD with several inches of water resulting in a seventeen-mile long traffic jam. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

[SACRUS]

 

 

Heaviest rain nearby into the Mid Atlantic.  Euro has this area expanded north into the NJ/NYC area as well.

 

 

[MANDA]

April precipitation here was 4.76".  While a nice total most of that fell in the first 12 days.  Only an additional .74" fell from the 13th. through the 30th.  April also delivered 1.5" snow for a 2024-25 total of 30.9".

Rainfall amounts over the next week will depend greatly on final track / placement of upper low.  Slight positioning and speed differences will have big impact on who gets what.  Thinking a compromise of wet EURO / CMC vs. dry GFS is way to go at the moment as @bluewave said.

Pattern has potential to deliver or disappoint.  With the wind, low humidity and lack or rainfall over the last 2 weeks or so we could use a 1"+ soaking.

[Brian5671]

34 minutes ago, MANDA said:

April precipitation here was 4.76".  While a nice total most of that fell in the first 12 days.  Only an additional .74" fell from the 13th. through the 30th.  April also delivered 1.5" snow for a 2024-25 total of 30.9".

Rainfall amounts over the next week will depend greatly on final track / placement of upper low.  Slight positioning and speed differences will have big impact on who gets what.  Thinking a compromise of wet EURO / CMC vs. dry GFS is way to go at the moment as @bluewave said.

Pattern has potential to deliver or disappoint.  With the wind, low humidity and lack or rainfall over the last 2 weeks or so we could use a 1"+ soaking.

I'd be happy with another inch or so

[MANDA]

27 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

I'd be happy with another inch or so

Same here!

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Amazing visibility today and perfect spring weather. Rare to get such such deep blue sky’s during the warm season. 

[jm1220]

Gorgeous. 75 this afternoon right down to the beaches. 

[nycwinter]

loving this dry windy weather..