eyewall Posted January 10, 2025 Author Share Posted January 10, 2025 I am not sure it will correlate but I am hoping the overperformance of the snow in Atlanta means the screw line up here will be a bit farther south. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 I like the snow line being down to Charleston 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 One look at this makes us understand while Raleigh folks are always nervous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 1 minute ago, CentralNC said: One look at this makes us understand while Raleigh folks are always nervous. Wake always seems to be the boundary line. Just depends on how far south or north in Wake that line is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 10, 2025 Author Share Posted January 10, 2025 3 minutes ago, CentralNC said: One look at this makes us understand while Raleigh folks are always nervous. I will take my Subaru up to Roxboro if I have to LOL. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 Really heavy band south of Atlanta that just keeps pumping it out. Also, just so I don't forget, NEVER EVER trust the NAM. What a fail. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 4 minutes ago, CentralNC said: One look at this makes us understand while Raleigh folks are always nervous. It’s stressful for us Raleigh folks. The people in Creedmoor don’t even come on these boards because they know it just snows there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILM2714 Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 Leaving Wilmington around lunch time to travel to my in laws “farm” in northern Alamance county. Im really hoping for a couple of inches so the kids can get some fun in….and me too. . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 6 minutes ago, eyewall said: I am not sure it will correlate but I am hoping the overperformance of the snow in Atlanta means the screw line up here will be a bit farther south. Its all about where the heavy bands set up. I'm only at a half inch, but someone on here 3 miles to my north has 2 inches. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 Just now, StantonParkHoya said: It’s stressful for us Raleigh folks. The people in Creedmoor don’t even come on these boards because they know it just snows there. Or they don't have internet up there. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaPilot Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 Looking at just over an inch. Im in Senoia just immediately S of KFFC. Sleet snow mix and just started light rain off and on and getting glaze. Im pretty happy! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ninergreen Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 14 minutes ago, CentralNC said: One look at this makes us understand while Raleigh folks are always nervous. Current Atlanta metro reports say that the line in question should be moved a smidge south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 I think RAH has a better handle on arrival. The HRRR and NAM are in line with their thinking. It’ll take a while to saturate the layer with the initial light returns. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 Crazy to see that frontogenesis band is stretching all the way to the South Carolina coast right now with some mping reports of a mix or even snow around Charleston. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 Nam 3k is an awful ice storm for wake. 0.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 As someone already posted what a massive NAM fail! The GFS and AI Euro did the best here. the ensembles were also very steady on us getting at least an inch, I am just over 2" as the changeover is happening. 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 Look at that beautiful band! Wherever it goes, ENJOY! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 That leading band stretching from ATL into SC will mean a lot. Latest NAM completely dissipates it as it tries to push into NC. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 10, 2025 Author Share Posted January 10, 2025 4 minutes ago, msuwx said: That leading band stretching from ATL into SC will mean a lot. Latest NAM completely dissipates it as it tries to push into NC. Yeah I do not expect that band to make it up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fuji Kapesta Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 I’m in Lawrenceville GA 2 inches on deck and it just flipped light sleet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 14 minutes ago, msuwx said: That leading band stretching from ATL into SC will mean a lot. Latest NAM completely dissipates it as it tries to push into NC. Is there a model that you think is handling it best so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 Wishing everyone the best, I’m now living in Clayton NC, SE of Raleigh. I won’t be home for this as I’m in Dallas (got to experience the entire storm here). Either way it plays out with precip type, with all the cold the past several days, the roads will be a disaster. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 Anyone in greensboro GA??? radar looks like they are getting slammed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 Latest NAM, NAM 3k, RAP, & HRRR all have between 0.25"- 0.5" of freezing rain for Wake County. Is that a realistic outcome? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 Not loving reports of how fast the warm nose is working north in parts of GA. Was hoping to get to at least 3 or 4 this afternoon before going over to sleet but I'm not so now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 Just now, wake4est said: Latest NAM, NAM 3k, RAP, & HRRR all have between 0.25"- 0.5" of freezing rain for Wake County. Is that a realistic outcome? Unlikely. General rule of thumb is models usually overdo the icing. But I guess there are probably exceptions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 14 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Is there a model that you think is handling it best so far? HRRR hasn't been bad. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 3 minutes ago, wake4est said: Latest NAM, NAM 3k, RAP, & HRRR all have between 0.25"- 0.5" of freezing rain for Wake County. Is that a realistic outcome? General rule of thumb: mixing/outright ZR is always on the table in Wake, especially south and East. Depending on track, US 1 and/or US 64 are good landmarks for this. edit: that said, even a full ZR storm won’t equate 1:1 to total QPF. Start with total QPF, cut in half, and that’s a reasonable “worst outcome” benchmark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 Temp creeping up. 32, with sleet and rain now mixing in. Gonna be a sht show here soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 10, 2025 Share Posted January 10, 2025 36 minutes ago, msuwx said: That leading band stretching from ATL into SC will mean a lot. Latest NAM completely dissipates it as it tries to push into NC. GRAF is the same https://x.com/Daniel_Bonds/status/1877671619683848519 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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