flair_2000 Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Went to my local Mexican restaurant for happy hour, and it looks like the GFS showed up also. 18 inches IMBY! Even a drunk me doesn't buy that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 31 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Still large changes from run to run at h5. This could still cut or get squashed and phase too late and still nail Boston! Hence the word could… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 9 minutes ago, WXNewton said: Yes, very nice trends, it really blossoms the precip out of the Gulf on this run and fills in the NW side of the precip shield. The best thing about that is it’s not a northwest trend. It’s becoming a perfect low track. It’s just juicing up and cooling down so more of the forum gets snow. What a freaking look 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Awesome trends! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 46 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: Eyewall is in, and I see Matt lurking. This could have legs. Is @eyewall in? It’s been awhile 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 What has my attention is extremely conservative mets discussing it 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Author Share Posted February 14, 2025 44 minutes ago, GaWx said: Regardless of Mar, in the meantime some of the best climo of the winter is in the last half of Feb. We still have another 2 weeks before March. Granted, it isn’t normally as good when it is La Niña. El Niño has the best Feb climo as we know. However, the pattern is anything but Ninaish with the -5 AO about to hit along with a rising +PNA to a strong one (combo typically has lingering effects). Will there be a NW trend like is common and occurred for the 1/10-11 storm? Or will there not be one like was the case for the 1/21-2 storm? We’ll see! So far there’s no indication of an impending NW trend, which may be partially related to the rare very strong -AO. I wasn't talking about this storm in particular more so the period after it. I think eastern NC and tidewater VA have a good shot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Author Share Posted February 14, 2025 5 minutes ago, BooneWX said: What has my attention is extremely conservative mets discussing it Who Brad P? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 3 minutes ago, BooneWX said: What has my attention is extremely conservative mets discussing it Big dog pattern. Everyone sees it. Pretty special setup, doesn’t mean we’ll score but it’s been a long time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digital snow Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 I'll Take it. No, just put me in the pink. No the white, ok pinkish white and Ill be happy. Truthfully, I'll be happy if I get some blues and this thing doesn't track to the new snowburbs between Fredericksburg and DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Author Share Posted February 14, 2025 28 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Guess we will see you next winter then. End of winter is only 2 weeks away despite what the weeklies show. Wheres my picture of you shoveling from the system that hit the gulf coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 5 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Wheres my picture of you shoveling from the system that hit the gulf coast? I’ve been shoveling digital snow since Christmas 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: I’ve been shoveling digital snow since Christmas Lol, lots of us have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Author Share Posted February 14, 2025 1 hour ago, franklin NCwx said: Lol...reading this board it doesn't snow there in winter either 2 inches of snow in 4 winters so that's not far off the mark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 8 minutes ago, GaWx said: 18Z Euro Much more likely after this as 144 is end of run: Not a lot of wiggle room unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 I’m going say this is a lock. We’re going to Canada on Sunday and not coming back until Friday, so of course it’s going to happen when I’m out of the country. Trends look great, so I will be jealous from a distance! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flair_2000 Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 59 minutes ago, BooneWX said: What has my attention is extremely conservative mets discussing it Yep. NWS Wakefield is as conservative as you can get, and they are mentioning it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 It's fun, but you all know we're back to reality next model cycle, right guys? Guys? Guys? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 6 minutes ago, cbmclean said: It's fun, but you all know we're back to reality next model cycle, right guys? Guys? Guys? 4 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Who Brad P? Yes + triad Mets who are usually quiet in the lead up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsheely88 Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 18z ECAI is banger for NC and SE Va. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 I have a strong sense the 0z FAFO model will skew heavily towards the FA this far out and next week it will flip to the FO midweek. Somehow we all love the FA but really struggle with the FO. Its the board we live in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 2 hours ago, wncsnow said: Wheres my picture of you shoveling from the system that hit the gulf coast? It was so cold that I only needed a leaf blower. I saved the shoveling for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Yes + triad Mets who are usually quiet in the lead upThat was my 1st thought when i saw brad discussing it.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 46 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: I have a strong sense the 0z FAFO model will skew heavily towards the FA this far out and next week it will flip to the FO midweek. Somehow we all love the FA but really struggle with the FO. Its the board we live in. FI FA FO FUM I need snow let’s get me some. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Author Share Posted February 14, 2025 ICON weaker than 12Z late bloomer with snow for northern piedmont and eastern NC more in VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 The patten is there. The details will irons themselves out in time 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Author Share Posted February 14, 2025 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 12 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Way better run than yesterday’s 0Z, which had virtually no snow in NC/SC/GA but not nearly as good as 12Z especially in NW SC, N GA, and SW NC. So, an in betweener. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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