DomNH Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 3 minutes ago, 512high said: Negative Dom, Exit 5 (our shop) 2.5"-2.75" @ 3:45am...... Guess my eyes are wrong! Either way about what I expected. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 and just like that, pounding aggies again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 Snowing pretty good in Greenfield right now. Should be able to hit 3”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 4 Author Share Posted April 4 28.9F Very light snow and blowing snow. 8" but so much drifting. Looking 300 feet below me the trees are caked but here it was drier and did not adhere on trees 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 Moderate sleet now temp 35F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 6.6" new, 9.3" total so far. Lots of tree limbs touching the ground. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 9” Bridgton just got to SR maybe 6”. This is gonna bust low here. Not snowing here currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 PWM 12z obs 4.0" new | 4.5" total 0.92" SWE new | 1.20" SWE total plus 0.35" rain Currently 31° and SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 3 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: 9” Bridgton just got to SR maybe 6”. This is gonna bust low here. Not snowing here currently. I'm never going to jump on anyone for coming up with a soundly reasoned forecast, as long as the headlines are messaging the right thing (i.e. heavy snow and power outages). If I had total control over the snow forecast yesterday I probably would've hedged closer to a foot rather than the 18. Like I mentioned with Will last evening, it seemed to evolve into more of a WAA snow, and it's hard to do more than a foot on pure WAA. We'll see how well the dry slot can fill in today. There are hints of moisture aloft moving back in, and cloud tops are cooling a little bit again, but I don't think we have another double digit period of snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EMontpelierWhiteout Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 8” new as of 8 AM, probably compacted. Had 1-1/2” at 10:30 last night so big thump in early AM. Light snow now, minimal wind. 30F. It was much windier here yesterday before precip started. Looks like a more impactful band is moving north after a little lull. NWS predicting another 3-8” in Montpelier through Sat AM, which would get us to upper end of predictions yesterday. With April sun angle don’t see this playing out as depth on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 34 minutes ago, dryslot said: I have it radar still looks solid over Lewiston..what you got? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 Positive Depth Change was largely accurate AWT. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Positive Depth Change was largely accurate AWT. On the edges not at all in the heart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: radar still looks solid over Lewiston..what you got? Were over 9" right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Positive Depth Change was largely accurate AWT. Like many products, good in some areas, not in others. It was terrible around here, with forecasts of 2-3" but we're easily 6+ OTG away from the coast even with compaction. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 20 minutes ago, DomNH said: Guess my eyes are wrong! Either way about what I expected. 1:1 ratios with snow snow atm profile; sleet ratios 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 Just now, Ginx snewx said: On the edges not at all in the heart. No one used them for that. Common sense dictates that heavy snow will yield more than positive depth change when its cold enough. Hell, I even said fator in Kutchera in the hills. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 Even DAW didn’t drop below 34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Like many products, good in some areas, not in others. It was terrible around here, with forecasts of 2-3" but we're easily 6+ OTG away from the coast even with compaction. Yea, in a marginal situation, its the path of least regret. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, in a marginal situation, its the path of least regret. I think they do well for situations where the entire column is marginal with those 32-34 surface temps. Locally the temps stayed around 32-34 but it was a pure snow sounding above that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Like many products, good in some areas, not in others. It was terrible around here, with forecasts of 2-3" but we're easily 6+ OTG away from the coast even with compaction. Yeah, Not good here either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I think they do well for situations where the entire column is marginal with those 32-34 surface temps. Locally the temps stayed around 32-34 but it was a pure snow sounding above that. Fact is, they were more accurate in totality.....perfect everywhere? No. But if you had the choice of 10:1 everywhere, Kuchera or +SDC, the latter would have yielded the most accurate forecast throughout the region. Are they too light in much of your area? Sure....but I would argue better than those idiotic 30" clown maps. Hardest hit areas have like a foot with what...3-4" more coming today? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Fact is, they were more accurate in totality.....perfect everywhere? No. But if you had the choice of 10:1 everywhere, Kuchera or +SDC, the latter would have yielded the most accurate forecast throughout the region. Are they too light in much of your area? Sure....but I would argue better than those idiotic 30" clown maps. You might want to wait on finals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 2.71" liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Fact is, they were more accurate in totality.....perfect everywhere? No. But if you had the choice of 10:1 everywhere, Kuchera or +SDC, the latter would have yielded the most accurate forecast throughout the region. Are they too light in much of your area? Sure....but I would argue better than those idiotic 30" clown maps. 30 burgers ship sailed when the mid level lows got strung out. You need a well organized secondary AND a stall/loop, and we just didn't have that here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 No snow tools are perfect....we need to actually forecast, but +SDC was the best guidance overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Fact is, they were more accurate in totality.....perfect everywhere? No. But if you had the choice of 10:1 everywhere, Kuchera or +SDC, the latter would have yielded the most accurate forecast throughout the region. Are they too light in much of your area? Sure....but I would argue better than those idiotic 30" clown maps. You mean your backyard . I wouldn't use them unless like Chris said marginal column Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: You might want to wait on finals I don't need to wait....no one is getting 30" or close to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You mean your backyard . I wouldn't use them unless like Chris said marginal column No, I mean in the aggregate. The most accurate forecast would have been PDC throughout NE....10:1 and Kutchera were worse in CNE than PDC was in NNE. I'm not sure how you argue that. Is that the case every storm? No, but it was today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 And thensome? Nick the dick. Love it. I'd kinda like to see Tom Hanks so another comedy. Bachelor party was outstanding, and some of those scenes in the money pit were hysterical.Snowing pretty good here ATM. Much better then the peltage from last night.Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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