Weather Will Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 WB latest EPS extended looks better mid March period. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 25 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB latest EPS extended looks better mid March period. Verbatim, that looks like a good pattern. Ideally you would want that western ridge to be further east towards ID, which would prevent low pressure from moving too far inland. Unfortunately, due to lack of cold and snow cover, which will only be even less sustained at that point, it's highly likely that this would lead to just cold rainstorms for the region. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 7 hours ago, snowmagnet said: One of the best March storms was the St. Pattys Day one. We had about 13 inches here. Can’t remember the year… Probably 2014. I got 8 inches in Dale City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 After seeing the weeklies for march assuming they are correct….we probably have one more storm for us to track 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, Jebman said: Probably 2014. I got 8 inches in Dale City. Got the same where I'm at in the Bethesda area from that St. Pat's 2014 storm! What an awesome event, and it was below freezing for like a day after. March 2014 itself was an amazing month for snow in this region! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 After seeing the weeklies for march assuming they are correct….we probably have one more storm for us to track You meant that in a positive tone right cause they don’t look too bad. I still would keep an eye on 2/23-24, we need some big changes though. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, Ji said: After seeing the weeklies for march assuming they are correct….we probably have one more storm for us to track Today shifted significantly better from yesterdays which were… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 But I’m done with worrying about it. I won’t be surprised either way at this point. Was today just a one last fluke tease run on the way to a final rug pull or a real indication? Ehh. I don’t have the patience left to dig into it really. If we get multiple days of improvements and it gets into a more believable range I’ll jump back into it. For now we still have a legit chance for the wave I liked all along if we can get some minor adjustments. After that I’ll let the chips fall where they may. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 42 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: But I’m done with worrying about it. I won’t be surprised either way at this point. Was today just a one last fluke tease run on the way to a final rug pull or a real indication? Ehh. I don’t have the patience left to dig into it really. If we get multiple days of improvements and it gets into a more believable range I’ll jump back into it. For now we still have a legit chance for the wave I liked all along if we can get some minor adjustments. After that I’ll let the chips fall where they may. Yeah, pretty much on the same page as you. Let's just see how things shake out from now through mid-March (I'm talking after this event on Friday night). I'm not sold on "your" storm just yet (the one around the 24th, right?), though obviously there is a signal there. Too warm?? But we'll see, I haven't followed that much of late. And I'm not at all ruling out some decent event in March at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB latest EPS extended looks better mid March period. Too little too late. If we’re banking on March to save us snow total wise we get burned. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: But I’m done with worrying about it. I won’t be surprised either way at this point. Was today just a one last fluke tease run on the way to a final rug pull or a real indication? Ehh. I don’t have the patience left to dig into it really. If we get multiple days of improvements and it gets into a more believable range I’ll jump back into it. For now we still have a legit chance for the wave I liked all along if we can get some minor adjustments. After that I’ll let the chips fall where they may. The thing is, even if you guys luck into something significant before the end, I think we have the "answer" you have been referring to. The Pacific base state is dominant. El Nino is powerless to help (to be fair, maybe it improves "shit the blinds" to simple "shut the blinds"). Kneel before King Babar. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 It still won’t be good because it’s a Nino, but if we cash in tomorrow and then find a way to get in one more 2-4/3-6ish type event, a good portion of the area will reach climo or be very close to climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 hours ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: Got the same where I'm at in the Bethesda area from that St. Pat's 2014 storm! What an awesome event, and it was below freezing for like a day after. March 2014 itself was an amazing month for snow in this region! It may happen again! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I'm happy to be getting what it looks like we'll get Friday/Saturday, but I can't help but be a bit sad seeing a big piece of what could be the last stj wave with cold near by that we'll see for a couple years...sliding by to the south, shunted by a front that won't even last long! But again, at least we get a nice piece off the top of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 What planet is gfs forecasting for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, Ji said: What planet is gfs forecasting for Venus 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro has the PSU storm on the 23rd.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 26 minutes ago, rjvanals said: Euro has the PSU storm on the 23rd.. close, so close. A bit more spacing between the waves and this could still be good. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 hours ago, pazzo83 said: Venus Nah, Jupiter...the red spot in particular. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 As is it’s a Richmond special. But time. It’s still there… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: As is it’s a Richmond special. But time. It’s still there… Gave proof through the night That your storm is still there SNOW! say does that winter storm Still trend on the models For the land of the freeze And the home of weenies! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 As is it’s a Richmond special. But time. It’s still there…Its there but it looks so uninspiring. Is 3-6 the max potential? Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 13 minutes ago, Ji said: Its there but it looks so uninspiring. Is 3-6 the max potential? Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk When the nao block fell apart our hecs potential went with it. We’re fighting for table scraps now. Is what it is. But hey you still have a reasonable shot at climo. I have almost no chance. I need ~20” more just to get to “avg”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 hours ago, Ji said: What planet is gfs forecasting for Uranus 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 hours ago, ravensrule said: Uranus On that planet, they shit the blinds every winter! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 End of the 6z control looked better for the setup leading into the 22-24 event. See if anything pops on 12z runs . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 hours ago, psuhoffman said: close, so close. A bit more spacing between the waves and this could still be good. Hmm, so we DO have something to look forward to. Hopefully the Euro keeps it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Hmm, so we DO have something to look forward to. Hopefully the Euro keeps it. see you at 1:13pm for pbp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 7 minutes ago, Heisy said: End of the 6z control looked better for the setup leading into the 22-24 event. See if anything pops on 12z runs . oof--thats some nasty +NAO/EPO/50 50 high. This is last hurrah till mid March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Ji said: see you at 1:13pm for pbp I'll be on the train. They are letting us out early today for the holiday weekend at 1. Yay me. I'll still be monitoring on....that damn phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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