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2/13 rain to snow event


LVblizzard
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Figured I’d make a thread since we’re close enough to the storm that we’re immune to the bad fortune a dedicated thread brings. Hopefully.

As it stands now, this looks like a significant storm for the Lehigh Valley and Poconos with plowable snow north of the turnpike, and a nuisance event towards the immediate Philly area.

Should be a fun one!

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Latest 12z GFS with yet another shift south. Sounding provided is for SE PA valid at 12z tomorrow morning. Fully saturated through the DGZ with maximum omega as well. It's going to thump around the morning commute, easily 1-2"+ rates for a time. Even though it's a quick moving storm, some places will see over 6" with rates that heavy for a time

gfs_2024021212_024_40.25--75_75.thumb.png.116aadcf3123817cb4eb1b76bca4de8f.png

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after looking at the latest model runs,  very high per hour snowfall rates will be achieved with this snowfall.  The outstanding  thing in this snow event is that whiteout conditions - like snow squalls will be achieved at times. Driving will be a complete nightmare everywhere.  Four wheel/all wheel drive vehicles that are high profile will be the main vehicles driving around.  The main arterial and local intersections and interstate on/off  ramps  will be an absolute  clusterF&*k with stranded or incapacitated vehicles as the plows will not be able to keep up to keep the roads clear with the snowfall rates.  PADOT MUST Issue their warnings this afternoon/ this evening to keep empty trucks trailers and oversize vehicles off the roads in the LV.  I would recommend a Tier 3-4 warning  based on the intensity of the snowfall and not just on the anticipated accumulations. IMHO, if you do not have to be out do not go out. Its the other drivers that I worry about as many younger drivers have not experienced 4-6 inch snow covered roads to drive on in without being plowed in over five years. The media must point this out. Imagine now that many drivers  in their mid to upper twenties have never experienced these anticipated winter conditions since 2016.  This storm will be a different animal hitting our area during peak morning rush hour and snow coming down pretty hard than many drivers have seen.  Good luck    https://www.penndot.pa.gov/TravelInPA/Winter/Pages/Vehicle-Restrictions.aspx

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