TSSN+ Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 1 minute ago, snowfan said: 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: I don’t think this is right, but… Storm so confusing even the same model does show the same maps on different sites lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 WxBell = best maps. It's basically the same as 06z. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 I saw this Friday night and posted early Saturday that further south and colder would be the rule. This is going to be a great tracking and obs set up and we watch for colder to mix in with wet . No need to bum out on how terrible models were until the last minute . We are going to have great obs fun albeit wee hours. I think distinction between Frederick to Gaithersburg to Silver Spring will end up irrrlevant. Wise man prevailing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 3 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 2 minutes ago, H2O said: legendary 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 I don’t think this is right, but…The accumulation map makes sense if the storm evolution plays out like the op euro is depicting. If you have rates, it will accumulate into the metro’s. If it’s drier and precip isLighter like the op euro shows, it will only accumulate in favored areas. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 18z Hrr is trending a little south 17hr vs 17z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Boom 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 18z Hrr is trending a little south 17hr vs 17z Brutal fall line cutoff. I need more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 18Z HRRR is a thing of beauty. I am buried. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 8 minutes ago, H2O said: KC will suspend him for first game next year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 wow.. still stronger near NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Brutal fall line cutoff. I need more good news for me 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 ^try Kuchera and I would still think overdone. Also... HRRRRRRRRRRRR is always a bit pumped! We got Hrrrrrred 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Man, yall HRRR people are gonna be the new Boston crew re: Euro. I'll be here to console you in my ample bosom 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: good news for me We're so close. Now that it's in our sights I want it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Surface is shot but this could be snow at DCA by HR17, no? maybe barely sleet? HRRR is showing "sleet" til hr19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 9 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: KC will suspend him for first game next year Not a chance. The NFL might though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Surface is shot but this could be snow at DCA by HR17, no? maybe barely sleet? HRRR is showing "sleet" til hr19 <snip> That's rain. For elevations near sea level, with surface temps above freezing need at least 925mb temps at -2C for SnowTV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 There is about 0.25” QPF after the changeover in the DC Beltway area per the 18z HRRR. Good news is that temps/Dp do drop to 34/33, so maybe 1-1.5” snow. Of course, this is the optimistic model. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 HRRR sounding at IAD for 12z tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 18 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: KC will suspend him for first game next year Good he will miss the Ravens game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Even the snow depth map would be acceptable in my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherQ Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Well .. New Castle Co DE Emergency Operations Division is getting very interested which bodes well for NE MD and the upper Eastern Shore… they titled this flash “Surprise Snow Storm” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 11 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Not a chance. The NFL might though The team won’t let him almost knock Andy over i doubt it violated any NFL policy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 These rates right before the flip. Going to be key to a fun morning of obs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Even the snow depth map would be acceptable in my eyes. Agreed. Even 2-3" would be a steal considering how this system was depicted in the weeks leading up to now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Ok let’s get NAMd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Pretty big differences on the 18z NAM for being 10hrs out.. sea-level low is further SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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