Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What is needed for interior elevated but south of 90?

I think you just need the mid levels to remain cool and hope you don’t slot.  Like even in the gfs…..I know it’s south, but you do need some dynamics to help.
 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I think you just need the mid levels to remain cool and hope you don’t slot.  Like even in the gfs…..I know it’s south, but you do need some dynamics to help.
 

 

It would seem in a setup like this the better dynamics would be south vs north ala 12k Nam. I’m sure another MLK type deal is coming though.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It would seem in a setup like this the better dynamics would be south vs north ala 12k Nam. I’m sure another MLK type deal is coming though.

Why?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

31 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Hmmm, channel 3 down here calling for several inches and a plowable snow? 

they don't even have a forecast up yet, just a chance of plowable snow map away from shore.. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What is needed for interior elevated but south of 90?

A Car with gas 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Why?

Because the low is tracking out south of LI. The Nam showed how the thump would be south in that case. Not that it’s right 

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

they don't even have a forecast up yet, just a chance of plowable snow map away from shore.. 

I just watched it, he said “several inches and a plowable snow possible, we’ll be assigning numbers to this, this afternoon” I felt that was bold to even hint at based on current trends.

[WxWatcher007]

Euro on the air again…buyer beware.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

NAM

 

 

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Because the low is tracking out south of LI. The Nam showed how the thump would be south in that case. Not that it’s right 

It did not.

The mid levels are what matter and that favors NOP.

[Snowcrazed71]

5 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

I just watched it, he said “several inches and a plowable snow possible, we’ll be assigning numbers to this, this afternoon” I felt that was bold to even hint at based on current trends.

You know guys, if you remember the last snow event we had a few weeks back. It was a lot of back and forth of how much snow we were going to get in the interior. And I remember two or three days before the event that we were just going to see maybe a few inches from what the models were saying. But the meteorologists on most of the local TV stations still kept there numbers in a similar range. In the end, I ended up with about eight inches in Plainville. So I would agree this is not a dead deal for anybody in the northern half of Connecticut as far as powerful snow goes

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

It did not.

The mid levels are what matter and that favors NOP.

I don’t use those Narcan maps. The nam had a nice thump south of pike in CT. I think Scooter even posted that. Farther north near NH my concern would be qpf. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Maxon from NBC 30 (Hammers station) sags the boobs . D batteries front shirt pockets 

https://x.com/bobmaxon/status/1750920911820030347?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[DJln491]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Maxon from NBC 30 (Hammers station) sags the boobs . D batteries front shirt pockets 

https://x.com/bobmaxon/status/1750920911820030347?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

  never heard that one before

[ORH_wxman]

29 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I’m just going to bide my time until Will gets excited for his hood.  No need to get vested before then.

Cautiously optimistic for our area. We have a little bit of elevation and being out near 495 helps. I’d like to see some more solutions that give some higher rates like the NAM…and it doesn’t have to be 12-15” like the NAM, but at least a couple 3 hour panels that drop 0.25”+ of QPF. 
 

I feel pretty good telling people in this area that we’re probably getting at least 2-3” but whether it’s likely we get 6”+ is still not answered yet. 

[Snowcrazed71]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Maxon from NBC 30 (Hammers station) sags the boobs . D batteries front shirt pockets 

https://x.com/bobmaxon/status/1750920911820030347?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

You must be sex starved lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I don’t use those Narcan maps. The nam had a nice thump south of pike in CT. I think Scooter even posted that. Farther north near NH my concern would be qpf. 

My concern is also precip type if the mid levels don't get going. But I would be careful with this clown maps. I agree elevation helps. 

[wx2fish]

Euro is definitely more juiced than 06z on the low res graphics 

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I don’t use those Narcan maps. The nam had a nice thump south of pike in CT. I think Scooter even posted that. Farther north near NH my concern would be qpf. 

Mid levels were nice more north, but nam almost had a convective feature near here. However I’m not buying anything close to that clown output right now. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

My concern is also precip type if the mid levels don't get going. But I would be careful with this clown maps. I agree elevation helps. 

You’ll probably be fine too. A little latitude as winds start to CAA 925-850

[ORH_wxman]

This is gonna be a good run for at least some of SNE. 

[ORH_wxman]

Big for CNE too

[ORH_wxman]

Euro tries to curl that vort in pretty close and it causes CCB to go wild from like western CT up through deep interior MA and into NH. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You’ll probably be fine too. A little latitude as winds start to CAA 925-850

I think so.

[MaineJayhawk]

No longer Just Another Model

[HinghamBoss]

This feels like that storm a few Sundays ago.  Waited all day to flip.  Got 1-2” in last 3 hours.

[40/70 Benchmark]

It looks like the NAM.

[40/70 Benchmark]

[40/70 Benchmark]

So much for the confluence....S stream FTW.

[weathafella]

I feel like I’m on the line between slop and ok event.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It looks like the NAM.

Does do a better job bringing the goods up to my neighborhood though.