Heisy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Gulf of Maine, developed a little later than GFS but definitely in the same ballpark. Every winter we get a chance or 2 at something extreme happening. Most of the time something screws it up, or timing is slightly off, but it’s on the table at least on two of the global so we got a shot! . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: LOL. That ridge forms a block and comes up with these exotic solutions on the op runs. I wasn't sure that would happen this morning...but yep, that's pretty funny. Clown range still of course. Wonder if Ray is gonna get payback this winter while a bunch of others get taken to the Scooter Woodshed Torture Games. That euro solution is almost a nuke for NE Ma and SE NH. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Wonder if Ray is gonna get payback this winter while a bunch of others get taken to the Scooter Woodshed Torture Games. That euro solution is almost a nuke for NE Ma and SE NH. If I get more than 6" from this, I hereby move to have omega 3PPD. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Euro and gfs are pretty siniliar. Big pattern change. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro and gfs are pretty siniliar. Big pattern change. Just saving snowman the trouble... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just saving snowman the trouble... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 No suprise not a lot of support for the GFS among its ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No suprise not a lot of support for the GFS among its ensembles. Darn I was expecting the GEFS to have a mean of 20” for that storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Darn I was expecting the GEFS to have a mean of 20” for that storm. I would have been thrilled with a 1"-2" mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 EPS is pretty damned amped for a 180h mean…look at the angle of that delivery between us and Baffin Island Big storm is unlikely but the omega block pattern is rapidly gaining more support. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Kidding aside…if you want an exotic system an exotic upper level pattern like that helps. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS is pretty damned amped for a 180h mean…look at the angle of that delivery between us and Baffin Island Big storm is unlikely but the omega block pattern is rapidly gaining more support. Isn't it ironic that this is the pattern that unravel's @qg_omega's seasonal agenda? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Wonder if Ray is gonna get payback this winter while a bunch of others get taken to the Scooter Woodshed Torture Games. That euro solution is almost a nuke for NE Ma and SE NH. I cry Uncle......please forgive me Ray for taking your blizzards over the many years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 EPS does get a close h5 low over Hazey in Nova Scotia on the mean…there must be some decent members further west because it has 1-2” of snow for eastern New England during that D8 period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I cry Uncle......please forgive me Ray for taking your blizzards over the many years. He won't help you, probably have it over Bermuda once in range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would have been thrilled with a 1"-2" mean. 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS does get a close h5 low over Hazey in Nova Scotia on the mean…there must be some decent members further west because it has 1-2” of snow for eastern New England during that D8 period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS does get a close h5 low over Hazey in Nova Scotia on the mean…there must be some decent members further west because it has 1-2” of snow for eastern New England during that D8 period. This could possibly be the most interesting period of the winter. If models hold, we can get some wild solutions. I'm sure the angst will be palpable in the coming days...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 56 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL. That ridge forms a block and comes up with these exotic solutions on the op runs. I wasn't sure that would happen this morning...but yep, that's pretty funny. Clown range still of course. I think didnt we talk about this possibility this morning. haven’t seen the euro. Stuck in a meeting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 8 minutes ago, Hazey said: This could possibly be the most interesting period of the winter. If models hold, we can get some wild solutions. I'm sure the angst will be palpable in the coming days...lol You may be in a great spot on that pattern depicted. Your extra longitude east will help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 The euro and gfs both look like something I'm not sure I've seen before. Just looks weird lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 24 minutes ago, JC-CT said: The euro and gfs both look like something I'm not sure I've seen before. Just looks weird lol That’s a weird/exotic H5 pattern, so if that verified, a weird result would make sense. Just fantasy at the moment though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 47 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Muted torch FTW or, FTL depending on who you ask 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 56 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Helluva way to run a torch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Well, there certainly gonna be no cutters for a while. Let’s hope we can keep things close enough into the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Helluva way to run a torch no changes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 13 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Muted torch FTW or, FTL depending on who you ask 4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Helluva way to run a torch @ORH_wxman yup we will be on our only cool island compared to the rest of the country. Will was talking about this a few days ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Let’s not get too cocky yet. Even though the huge positive anomalies will be in the northern plains this could still break in a way where we end up AN. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: Let’s not get too cocky yet. Even though the huge positive anomalies will be in the northern plains this could still break in a way where we end up AN. That ridge could also shift north and west by a couple hundred miles and we would be in never ending blizzard loop of short waves dropping out of Manitoba 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 24 minutes ago, dendrite said: Let’s not get too cocky yet. Even though the huge positive anomalies will be in the northern plains this could still break in a way where we end up AN. Yeah if that doesn’t block off and rolls over our heads instead, it could be 60F. But I think it’s becoming more likely the block happens given the ensemble support which was more tepid on previous runs. But like you, not ready to 100% buy in yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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