JoshM Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 hours ago, Coach McGuirk said: I have no hope for the next few weeks. 0z Euro begs to differ... 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 KING Euro. Refer to his majesty appropriately. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 From QuagmireWx 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 pretty excited about the next 6 weeks or so, hope yall are well 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Good to see you on here ILM! If Brick shows up, it will definitely be on. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Brick's gonna want some NIL $$ 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 16th/17th definitely a consistent threat both on OP and Ensemble runs at this point, but it's gonna be a tricky one to track given the uncertainty that these two anomalously strong storms between now and then are going to cause in the models. Particularly the 2nd one this weekend, as it appears likely to phase with the TPV lobe and exactly where that big low sets up ahead of our target wave will have big impacts. Ideally, we need it to trend east as close to the 50/50 region as we can get it, as opposed to further west where the 12z GFS showed it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 hour ago, ILMRoss said: pretty excited about the next 6 weeks or so, hope yall are well Welcome to the other side. Good to see you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Looks like the Euro is going to cut again for storm #3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Congrats northern MS and west TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Our friend, the SE Ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Looks like the Euro is going to cut again for storm #3 It’s ok. We can still afford to burn 5 more storms in peak climo before I get worried! We’re the south, we rock at getting snowfall! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Congrats northern MS and west TN Looks like a NINA pattern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Congrats northern MS and west TN SER flexing that run! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 At least some of our southern brethren will get some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 It's still around 7-8 days out but all 3 global ops now show this being a mid south event with the SER flexing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Euro drops the TPV close to home after which will likely suppress things until it moves away and we warm up for another rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 8 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Our friend, the SE Ridge Good time to head to the beaches in Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 5 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Euro drops the TPV close to home after which will likely suppress things until it moves away and we warm up for another rainstorm. Haha. You and I have seen this play out too many times to count. It's just another winter of cold and dry, followed by intense rain and warm. It's a dud. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Yep that's the norm the past 5 years especially.. May have to root for a super clipper with the upcoming pattern. The trough orientation doesn't look ideal for a miller A, then the MJO goes into its warm phases later this month. This will probably be a pretty quick shot of cold air. Then we are already talking about a "relaxation of the pattern" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 6 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Good time to head to the beaches in Florida. Heck... if that map plays out, the Sc beaches will do just fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Well there will be a big storm in the south it looks line. Right now Tenn forum should be happy. We’ll see if that holds over the next several days. My guess is it moves back and forth until Friday or Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 18 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The trough orientation doesn't look ideal for a miller A, then the MJO goes into its warm phases later this month. It's in it's warm phases now isn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 15 minutes ago, CaryWx said: It's in it's warm phases now isn't it? Its about to enter the warmest but hopefully will move through them quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 But why can’t the SER make an appearance during Memorial Day ANY year?! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 So you're telling me there's a chance... 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 There’s a lot of well-versed folks on the Tennessee Valley sub that do believe it’ll trend further south and east. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Would love to start seeing some promising runs soon... I know it's early but if we don't cash in with this pattern coming up then the clock will be ticking. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionCountyNCWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Essentially cold chasing moisture for the 16th is what I'm seeing model wise once the system gets cranking. "That ain't gonna work Jim" ***Actually it's cold not even chasing anymore. More like the cold decided to take a breather along the mountains and watch the light showers move out. My one shot of hopefulness came with the storm this past weekend which didn't materialize outside of the mountains and foothills ice wise. I really don't see anything worth getting excited over for the next few weeks at all minus some below temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 46 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Would love to start seeing some promising runs soon... I know it's early but if we don't cash in with this pattern coming up then the clock will be ticking. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk There is no clock anymore. Only a dark, snow less void. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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