Allsnow Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 4 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Blizzard of 2005 19 year anniversary One of my favorite storms. ULL came through the next day and dropped 3-6 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 4 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Blizzard of 2005 19 year anniversary Great storm. I think it was in the single digits the morning of. Was driving back from Philly during the heart of it then the following morning we got blizzard conditions as the low departed 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Great storm. I think it was in the single digits the morning of. Was driving back from Philly during the heart of it then the following morning we got blizzard conditions as the low departed 2005 had a special stretch for our local area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: 2005 had a special stretch for our local area Yes it was a great winter https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2005/22-Jan-05.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 29 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Up to 28 from a low of 13 last night. Clouds moving in later and not likely moving out till later Friday. Upper 30s near 40 today, rain Tue - Fri totals for the week 1 - 1.5 inches. Warming each day till reaching the 50s Fri perhaps upper 50s near 60 this Saturday. Trough is pulled down the northeast with a storm deepening offshore 1/29 - 1/31 and some cold perhaps mixing before moderating later next week and the first week of Frb. Saturday should be the best day in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 22 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Blizzard of 2005 19 year anniversary this was a "super clipper" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 16 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Great storm. I think it was in the single digits the morning of. Was driving back from Philly during the heart of it then the following morning we got blizzard conditions as the low departed It was a very good storm but underrated because it was overshadowed by PD2 from a few years before. PD2 was the storm of the decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Made it down to 4 last night, now 19. Some ice/snow in the forecast Tuesday/Tuesday night here north of I84, maybe an inch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 14 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: Made it down to 4 last night, now 19. Some ice/snow in the forecast Tuesday/Tuesday night here north of I84, maybe an inch. Yeap tomorrow/tomorrow night is looking wintry for those along & N of 84. 1-2” of snow/sleet with a bit of ice 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Gfs is getting there for the end of the month storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs is getting there for the end of the month storm Sunday or next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Sunday or next week? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 I guess we could get lucky and squeeze out something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 17 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs is getting there for the end of the month storm its there now with that HP in southeast Canada - and a favorable storm track and also climatology on our side yes even in a warmer pattern we can have brief periods of winter like weather 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Need another model on board. Cmc is a miss to the south but also warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Need another model on board. Cmc is a miss to the south but also warm Euro has been on board along with the ICON 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Need another model on board. Cmc is a miss to the south but also warm Cmc is close 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 The spike in the PNA ridge should help this storm amplify more. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Would be remarkable to pull off something meaningful in coastal areas in this hostile pattern so my view is to expect nothing. Literally anything would be a bonus! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: Would be remarkable to pull off something meaningful in coastal areas in this hostile pattern so my view is to expect nothing. Literally anything would be a bonus! Yeah its warm Sunday so will take alot to get this to snow at the coast even at night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: this was a "super clipper" And then the 2006 Feb KU and really, we did not see much for a few years after. 2007 was lean, a couple events in 08 and 09, so it is not unusual, even in a snowy decade, to see lean years. Maybe not as lean as 2020, 23, and so far 24...but lean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah its warm Sunday so will take alot to get this to snow at the coast even at night A good phase will make it happen. We are also in middle of winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 22 Author Share Posted January 22 No threads until at least 730PM. Ice fishing now. Ice continues a risk to within 10 miles of the NYC urban center. Tue-early Wed. 28-31 continues minor snow on the table NYC, bigger ninalnd from I95. No thread til ensembles are better agreement and CMC has to be on board. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: A good phase will make it happen. We are also in middle of winter. It's a real thread the needle situation, but yeah late January is probably the time you're most likely to be able to pull off a thread the needle event in an unfavorable pattern. I would say only a slight chance that this will work out for the coast, but it's something to keep an eye on. Maybe we can get lucky with HP to the north in the right spot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Tomorrow into early Wednesday remains on track for a light freezing rain/icing situation, generally running from northeastern Pennsylvania across the Hudson Valley into western Connecticut, but north and west of New York City and Newark. January 28-30, 2024: Possible light snow event. ☃️ Historic data for the forecast pattern, even when the timeframe is widened to include all of January and February 1950 through 2023 strongly favors a light event for both the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The 1/22 12z GFS is currently an outlier. In contrast, the 1/22 12z GGEM shows no measurable snow for either city. It is premature to rule out any snowfall, but until there is support for the periodic more aggressive outcomes, those more aggressive outcomes should be discounted. Were the EPO to be negative, the odds of something larger would increase. Were the EPO +1.000 or above, the odds of a significant snowfall would all but vanish. February 1-5, 2024: There is strong support both from the forecast teleconnections, extended range of the EPS/GEFS, and the ECMWF and CFSv2 weeklies for warmer to much warmer than normal temperatures. Therefore, this remains a high confidence idea despite the timeframe involved. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 22 Author Share Posted January 22 Posting the CNN displayed winter snowfall departures expected in moderate-strong El Niño as in their article on 12/2/23, and per my request to NOHRSC they generated the departure map to date (from only a 15 year NPOHRSC climo) ... and I added the season to date mapped total. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 18 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: And then the 2006 Feb KU and really, we did not see much for a few years after. 2007 was lean, a couple events in 08 and 09, so it is not unusual, even in a snowy decade, to see lean years. Maybe not as lean as 2020, 23, and so far 24...but lean. it slowly got less and less lol 2002-03 was my favorite and top winter of the decade with the biggest snowstorm (the only 2 foot storm here) and an april snowstorm too! and 2003-04 was very good, very cold with the earliest blizzard we have ever had followed by the famous pink snow snowstorm in January, 2004-05 was a little less than that and 2005-06 was only an average winter here because we only got a little over a foot in the blizzard, the april snowfall that year actually had higher rates here even though only 2" fell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 The warmup after this week vanished on the gfs 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Why am I getting weenied for posting the gefs ? 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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