Allsnow Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Another bust by the Euro How? It did great with this event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 1.18" here so far. Nice soaking. Perfect weather the next few days. Sunny with high temps mid-upper 70s and very low humidity. Dewpoints should get down to the high 40s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 22 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: What below average temps? It's not getting any warmer than the 60s today. Low-mid 70s all week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 6 minutes ago, Allsnow said: How? It did great with this event I have about 0.33” and it had me well over an inch. This last batch might get me to 0.5” but the inch or more will be to my east. If any model did well it might be the RGEM. Scratch that, maybe HRRR? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 18, 2023 Author Share Posted September 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, TriPol said: It's not getting any warmer than the 60s today. Low-mid 70s all week. It's essentially going to end up average this week. Today had a warm overnight low to counter the cool high 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 8 minutes ago, Allsnow said: How? It did great with this event It was supposed to rain most of today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 4 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I have about 0.33” and it had me well over an inch. This last batch might get me to 0.5” but the inch or more will be to my east. If any model did well it might be the RGEM. Scratch that, maybe HRRR? Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 9 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I have about 0.33” and it had me well over an inch. This last batch might get me to 0.5” but the inch or more will be to my east. If any model did well it might be the RGEM. Scratch that, maybe HRRR? You have a few more hours of rain left before the final total. As you said in your previous post there was always going to be a skunk zone which is hard for the models to place Exactly. The euro was the first model to see the costal storm and further west track last Friday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 14 minutes ago, TriPol said: It's not getting any warmer than the 60s today. Low-mid 70s all week. 70s is average for mid September… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: You have a few more hours of rain left before the final total. As you said in your previous post there was always going to be a skunk zone which is hard for the models to Exactly. The euro was the first model to see the costal storm and further west track last Friday Yep have to give the Euro credit even though it didn't see the screw zone. Euro was a little overdone but it had the right idea of this being a pretty significant event when other models were not impressed at all. We got much more rain than I thought we would. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 .75 and more to come . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 It is raining pretty hard now, maybe we make up some ground. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, jm1220 said: It is raining pretty hard now, maybe we make up some ground. You will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 Over a half inch of rain so far today (that we really don't need or want). It's cold and soggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 .75 and steady moderate rain is back after a brief break. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 Should be wrapping up for the western half of LI soon despite what Upton says. Good event though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 Wrapping up here. Decent event, not soon enough to prevent early leaf drop from my Japanese maple unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 Picked up 1.08" of rain so far today. Storm total so far 1.37" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 Still raining here 1.76 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 Hoping to get a track like this during Winter. 12z GFS brings a lot of moisture in on Saturday afternoon/evening with a strong Southerly fetch. Would be all rain for the coast but a very good track for the interior. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 18, 2023 Author Share Posted September 18, 2023 Gfs and cmc both with 1.5 to 3"+ of rain this weekend 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 11 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Hoping to get a track like this during Winter. 12z GFS brings a lot of moisture in on Saturday afternoon/evening with a strong Southerly fetch. Would be all rain for the coast but a very good track for the interior. If by interior you mean West Virginia, The mid levels would torch all the way into central Pa and Ny with a low into Va 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 Just now, Allsnow said: If by interior you mean West Virginia, The mid levels would torch all the way into central Pa and Ny with a low into Va If it was January you would have a much stronger high to the North and the track would likely be up the coast instead of into the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: If it was January you would have a much stronger high to the North and the track would likely be up the coast instead of into the coast. Up the coast from the map you posted would be into eastern Pa. You would need a high to the north just to get a decent front end. The high itself doesn’t dictate low track in any month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Up the coast from the map you posted would be into eastern Pa. You would need a high to the north just to get a decent front end. The high itself doesn’t dictate low track in any month It's all a hypothetical at this point. And I would rather spend Winter dealing with storms tracking into PA than storms tracking near Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 Sure beats everything tracking to Detroit like last year 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It's all a hypothetical at this point. And I would rather spend Winter dealing with storms tracking into PA than storms tracking near Cape Cod. I’ll give this a try. would love to track storms tracking near cape cod. Would screw the interior but be great for the coast. Ala Juno 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 18, 2023 Author Share Posted September 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Sure beats everything tracking to Detroit like last year Detroit, Buffalo same difference 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 18, 2023 Share Posted September 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: I’ll give this a try. would love to track storms tracking near cape cod. Would screw the interior but be great for the coast. Ala Juno Storms where everyone wins happen once every 10 years apart or more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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