ROOSTA Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Blitzortung.org - Live Lightning Map Took a couple of days to get ready, pull an all nighter- getting old sucks. Up till I lose power. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 10 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: Yeah - that was the case with Hugo when it passed over Charlotte. The damage was extensive. Fran in 1996 was a bruiser for Raleigh Durham. Widespread power outages and blocked roads for over a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 21 minutes ago, Windspeed said: Wind interacts differently inland for a TC versus over the water or right at the coast. You get gusting bursts due to friction and turbulence. 100+ mph gusts are definitely possible if that is where the core traverses. Speed is what might make the difference. I know when Hurricane Charley zipped across FL, Orlando had its highest gust ever at 108 amd that was pretty far from landfall. What surprised me is FL building codes are only to 130ish where this may landfall. I would think Valdosta older buildings/roofs could see high damage if hurricane force winds are sustained. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyric297 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 38 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: Fran in 1996 was a bruiser for Raleigh Durham. Widespread power outages and blocked roads for over a week. It was also quite a bruiser for both Raleigh and Durham, not just the airport! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 59 minutes ago, Newman said: Some big time towers just went up on the west side of the eye looking at IR. Tops colder than -80° Just a 110C+ gradient from top to bottom, lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Dry air may be affecting the east side of the storm a bit, more squally than focused CDO atm. Also may have contributed to eyewall possibly opening up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 So is what we see in the graphic on the left going to happen? I saw this at dailymail.com but the article didn't discuss it. If the two storms interacted in the Atlantic, what would happen? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: Dry air may be affecting the east side of the storm a bit, more squally than focused CDO atm. Also may have contributed to eyewall possibly opening up. Eyewall is closed, no dry air entrainment whatsoever into the core. All is good, what you are seeing is land interaction, friction induced. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Another nice burst of convection just went up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, WxSynopsisDavid said: Eyewall is closed, no dry air entrainment whatsoever into the core. All is good, what you are seeing is land interaction, friction induced. It was open for about 20 minutes, its just the main shield itself east of the eyewall is a tad lethargic atm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 6 minutes ago, CoralRed said: So is what we see in the graphic on the left going to happen? I saw this at dailymail.com but the article didn't discuss it. If the two storms interacted in the Atlantic, what would happen? Franklin about to jet ENE. The storms will be a few thousand miles apart by Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Downtown Gulfport beginning to flood. The highest tide is just after noon tomorrow. It's going to be difficult for the business owners and residents in Zone A. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 -0Z CMC as expected in correction mode shifted vs the 12Z to the right significantly (~50 miles) to far NW Taylor County -0Z ICON vs 18Z shifted very slightly left (~5 miles) to SE Taylor County -0Z GFS vs 18Z shifted left 15 miles into far NW Taylor County -0Z UKMET about same as 18Z in south central Taylor County -0Z Euro vs 12Z shifted 20 miles right to C Taylor County *Edited to add Euro 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 News reporters are already in Gulfport. The ocean is rising at a solid rate possibly until mid-day tomorrow or longer. https://thegabber.com/gulfport-fl-beach-webcam/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 944 mb extrapolated, 101 knots SFMR 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 29 minutes ago, SI Mailman said: Franklin about to jet ENE. The storms will be a few thousand miles apart by Friday. Complete waste of time graphic then, wasn't it? Thanks for letting me know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarbondaleWX Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 41 minutes ago, CoralRed said: So is what we see in the graphic on the left going to happen? I saw this at dailymail.com but the article didn't discuss it. If the two storms interacted in the Atlantic, what would happen? Fujiwhara Effect 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Monster storm! Radar presentation in the eyewall is off the charts right now. Cell motion being sucked into the NW eyewall is crazy to see. Will be a pleasure tracking with you all tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Cat 3 120 mph now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 The forward speed of Idalia has slowed to 15 mph. Certainly not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 To be honest, the new recon's initial wind measurements are kinda meh for a 946 mb storm... 107 kts flight level (se quad) and 101 kts SFMR (nw quad). In the southeast quad, the SFMR is only 79 kts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 expected to be a cat 4 as it nears the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Radar shows a slug of dry air has been pulled into the east side of the core. That part of the core has dried out somewhat. Any outer core bands have been broken up and the eastern eyewall does not appear as thick or robust as the west side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: Radar shows a slug of dry air has been pulled into the east side of the core. That part of the core has dried out somewhat. Any outer core bands have been broken up and the eastern eyewall does not appear as thick or robust as the west side. I noticed that on radar but on water vapor there really isn't any signs of dry air so kind of odd that's happening. Maybe a significant moat forming? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: Radar shows a slug of dry air has been pulled into the east side of the core. That part of the core has dried out somewhat. Any outer core bands have been broken up and the eastern eyewall does not appear as thick or robust as the west side. Not certain that’s what is happening. Beam height of the radars is my main question. Also appears the left side (east side) is undergoing frictional interference. So far not seeing any indications of what you mentioned in the recon data. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Using radar, the east quad is where the fastest winds are. Velocities are also spiking in that region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Some pretty evident eastward wobble over the past 2 hours. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Still 944 on the new pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 I was going to mention this is hauling east now. Will be interesting to see if it’s a trend or just a speed bump. If I’m in Tallahassee i feel good now though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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