LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 11 hours ago, Gravity Wave said: I don't think that's really true anymore. What I will say is that the 18z and 06z GFS use the same data as the 12z and 00z runs, respectively, so they are a little less interesting for that reason. it's true but more in the mid to long range....I posted a PDF analysis on it several times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 8 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: There’s a wet snow shower in parts of southern Westchester County. No accumulation has occurred. Oh is that headed this way Don? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 If it holds together. 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: Oh is that headed this way Don? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 4 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: If it holds together. Maybe in time for morning? I'd love to see that when the sun comes up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 11 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Maybe in time for morning? I'd love to see that when the sun comes up It will be brief. There was no accumulation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 I’m sure no one is surprised but the EPS caved to the GEFS. Completely tanks the PNA, dumps a full latitude trough in the west and pumps the SE ridge the end of this month into early February 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Moderate snow showers in the Bx, no accumulation however. Sitting at 33* maybe get to 32 this am? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 It has been flurrying here for about 4 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Eps fully caved to gefs rna pattern… Its over 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Eps fully caved to gefs rna pattern… Its over And the NAO is positive as hell this time, unlike December when it tamed what would have been a massive RNA/SE ridge torch, this time, there’s nothing to stop it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: And the NAO is positive as hell this time, unlike December when it tamed what would have been a massive RNA/SE ridge torch, this time, there’s nothing to stop it Torch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 6 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Torch Torch has to be 70 or higher. 50's is still just lukewarm at best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: It will be brief. There was no accumulation. Well I can't see anything now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 11 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Eps fully caved to gefs rna pattern… Its over Never started. Been a bunch of cutters on here since mid November. Just some hype about a great pattern and a 3 day super cold shot. Youre the only one that keeps reiterating that it is over. Move on. its a question of a 0 for CPK or a little bit to save face 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 39degs.(35/44) or +6. Month to date is 45.7[+11.4]. Should be 43.2[+9.4] by the 22nd. Reached 53 here yesterday. Today: 36-39, wind n.-breezy, m.cloudy, 30 tomorrow AM. At best Near Normal for the last 5 days of the month. Before you know it, the Normals will be rising and the AN's will be in the 50's, 60's, 70's and challenge 80---like about 5 years ago for February. 34*(68%RH) here at 6am{38* at midnight}. 33* at 7am. 35* at Noon. Reached 36* at 3pm. 35* at 5pm. 32* at 8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Nice snow shower here. 30F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 you know this winter sucks when your looking out the window during a little snow shower. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uniblab Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Light flurry in staten island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: you know this winter sucks when your looking out the window during a little snow shower. it's snowing here too! actually a little harder now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 6 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: you know this winter sucks when your looking out the window during a little snow shower. it's actually sticking to rooftops this is the kind of surprise snowstorm we're talking about 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 35 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Well I can't see anything now lol omg this is legit snow now sticking to roofs lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 There's actually people here taking pictures of the snow with their cellphones lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 14, 2023 Author Share Posted January 14, 2023 I see flurries in NYC this morning. RGEM the only model to hint this. if you look back on modeling for this morning... which model had a bit of snow for CT/MA/LI this morning????? The RGEM and I think it was the RGEM only. You're invited to check back and call me on it. Certainly not the over hyped EC nor the maligned GFS. This at least is a moral victory for all who predicted a big winter event here for the 14th. Flurries are hope. Slight accums nowcast expectation today for parts of CT/LI. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Did not expect some light snow this morning in Brooklyn 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 With the relentless dog crap pattern we’re in, it’s time to start thinking of all time snow futility in a season. The record is 2.8” in 72/73 which is becoming more and more realistic by the day. I love snow more than anyone on this board, but if it fails to produce, it might as well be an all timer where the snow gods pitches a shut out in NYC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 At least in 2001-2002 I got 3 inches A few years ago I received just under 2 inches and alot of snow showers but this winter is just brutal. It's still young so plenty of time to go. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Around round of snow, no accumulation but a few tenths looks possible if it stays steady for a while 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Officially on the board with a “trace!” Protecting my 7 & 1/2 flakes like they’re white gold… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: Officially on the board with a “trace!” Protecting my 7 & 1/2 flakes like they’re white gold… wow are you my neighbor? thats exactly what his roof looks like right now! I just checked and his roof has a little more, the entire roof has a coating of white now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 14 minutes ago, wdrag said: I see flurries in NYC this morning. RGEM the only model to hint this. if you look back on modeling for this morning... which model had a bit of snow for CT/MA/LI this morning????? The RGEM and I think it was the RGEM only. You're invited to check back and call me on it. Certainly not the over hyped EC nor the maligned GFS. This at least is a moral victory for all who predicted a big winter event here for the 14th. Flurries are hope. Slight accums nowcast expectation today for parts of CT/LI. roofs are coated with snow and its been snowing steadily for a few hours here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now