StantonParkHoya Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Starting to think things may get going here in Raleigh before 5 based on short range high res models 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Well now... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Starting to think things may get going here in Raleigh before 5 based on short range high res models Agree. Radars look pretty good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebaney Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 15 hours ago, alhooks13 said: That yellow line is not 64. It's the Wake-Johnston county border. 64 runs more or less east-west through Wake Co. You’re right. 264 does run beside my house (the circle) where the darker blue turns into lighter blue, which kinda strengthens my point. I am at intersection of 540 and 264. Just being facetious about how so many times there is a line of light precip and dark precip the drives down hwy 264. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, olafminesaw said: 1.0inch is getting closer to Greensboro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherExperiment Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 3 hours ago, PantherJustin said: Think CLT Metro Gets A WWA? Cabarrus already has one? I figure Rowan minimum? Just got the WWA for Gaston, Mecklenburg, Rowan and several SC Counties. Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 230 PM EST Fri Jan 21 2022 NCZ057-070-071-SCZ009-012-013-019-220400- /O.EXA.KGSP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-220122T1200Z/ Rowan-Gaston-Mecklenburg-York-Laurens-Union SC-Greenwood- Including the cities of Salisbury, Gastonia, Charlotte, Catawba, Rock Hill, Laurens, Clinton, Union, Monarch Mills, Ware Shoals, and Ninety Six 230 PM EST Fri Jan 21 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch. Areas of black ice overnight. * WHERE...Portions of Upstate South Carolina and piedmont North Carolina, extending from Greenwood County northeast to Rowan County, including the Charlotte metro area. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The bulk of the snow is expected to fall this evening. After the snow lifts out of the area late this evening, black ice will be possible into Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, WeatherExperiment said: Just got the WWA for Gaston, Mecklenburg, Rowan and several SC Counties. Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 230 PM EST Fri Jan 21 2022 NCZ057-070-071-SCZ009-012-013-019-220400- /O.EXA.KGSP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-220122T1200Z/ Rowan-Gaston-Mecklenburg-York-Laurens-Union SC-Greenwood- Including the cities of Salisbury, Gastonia, Charlotte, Catawba, Rock Hill, Laurens, Clinton, Union, Monarch Mills, Ware Shoals, and Ninety Six 230 PM EST Fri Jan 21 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch. Areas of black ice overnight. * WHERE...Portions of Upstate South Carolina and piedmont North Carolina, extending from Greenwood County northeast to Rowan County, including the Charlotte metro area. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The bulk of the snow is expected to fall this evening. After the snow lifts out of the area late this evening, black ice will be possible into Saturday morning. Still not me wth lol why not just add everyone and be done with it…… I mean freaking Gaston? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Latest guidance and observed trends are increasingly supportive of a high potential for heavy snow bands to develop over portions of central and eastern NC over the next 15 hours, with the focus on the 7p-3a time frame. The latest surface analysis shows frigid high pressure nosing down through central NC with cold/dry air advection, including single-digit dewpoints just to our N. Radar continues to show spotty elevated returns facing this dry subcloud layer and thus not reaching the ground. However, this is expected to change as the deep layer forcing for ascent strengthens as we head into the evening, resulting in saturation of the column and a blossoming of wintry precip over central NC, all in tandem with a band of increasing H7-H5 fgen from the central Piedmont E nearly to the coast between 02z and 08z. Most large scale models depict much stronger and more focused upper divergence over north-central and northeast NC than previous runs showed, and the potent mid level shortwave trough crossing the region this evening/tonight now takes on a neutral to slightly negative tilt as it reaches central NC. High res model guidance including recent HRRR runs also show well the bands of heavier precip starting this evening. Much of the area will see a fully below-0C column except for the SE, roughly along/SE of a Maxton-to-Goldsboro line which will see some warming aloft, although the expected degree of glazing in the SE has trended lower in recent model runs, and even this area may see decent snowfall with fairly light icing except for areas SE of Clinton. Given the higher confidence in the occurrence of heavy snow bands, have bumped up storm total snow to 2.5-4.5" along and east of a Wadesboro-to- Roanoke Rapids line. Areas NW of here will likely see some snow, but lasting a shorter time and with a lower threat of heavy snow, so we issued an advisory for the remainder of the area, except Forsyth, for snow totals up to 2". A quick exit of the precip from W to E is expected by sunrise or very soon thereafter. Lows from the teens to lower 20s. Chilly NW winds through the night will culminate in daybreak wind chills into the single digits to lower teens. -GIH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Sounds like RAH set a new threshold--again. Probably last one though. I am just about square on that line between Wadesboro to Roanoke Rapides. Uncanny. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fire1113 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 CAE just extended the WSW a little. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
27596WXNUT Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Interesting thought by Eric 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 7 minutes ago, 27596WXNUT said: Interesting thought by Eric I think we will get a good show. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Nasty Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 I think we will get a good show. Where's your location Brick? If I remember it's in Wake. Location doesn't show on my Android phone on AmericanWx when using Tapatalk. Sent from my moto z4 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, Uncle Nasty said: Where's your location Brick? If I remember it's in Wake. Location doesn't show on my Android phone on AmericanWx when using Tapatalk. Sent from my moto z4 using Tapatalk Wake Forest, right on the Wake and Franklin County line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ragtop50 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Few flakes flying around here just north of Fayetteville in Linden (northern Cumberland County) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 The main banding is definitely setting up along I-95 area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 14 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: The main banding is definitely setting up along I-95 area. Some of that is mixing with IP/ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Remember when a lot of folks were freaking out about that run of the NAM that shows the storm disappear? This should be a lesson to never freak out over one or two bad model runs. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Just now, eyewall said: Some of that is mixing with IP/ZR Yep - mentioned this in the obs thread. Per Twitter reports, sounds like Lillington, Dunn, Four Oaks, Benson, etc. are mainly IP, with some ZR mixing in toward the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 19 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Remember when a lot of folks were freaking out about that run of the NAM that shows the storm disappear? This should be a lesson to never freak out over one or two bad model runs. Blasphemy….!!! I was made fun of in the main thread for suggesting that computers had no clue and never will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 I work in an emergency room so I had to drive to work tonight. I live in Myrtle beach. Car has icicles on it already. Suppose to be driving home at 7am. Not sure how that’s gonna go 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 I hope this isn’t a bust. Rates are so poor and snow has lightened up in Wilson Nc 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Just now, NJsnow89 said: I hope this isn’t a bust. Rates are so poor and snow has lightened up in Wilson Nc It's 6:30 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silver Meteor Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 3 hours ago, NJsnow89 said: I hope this isn’t a bust. Rates are so poor and snow has lightened up in Wilson Nc 3 hours ago, NCsandhills said: It's 6:30 Same here in Greenville, NC. Rates have been and remain pathetic ... after 10pm now and can't imagine how we're going to reach our forecast of 3-5". Nope, ain't gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reelscreamer Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Yep in Greenville, NC as well. All sleet. Pitiful. Hopefully someone to the west cashed in. 25 degrees Hopefully a change over soon.. Everyone stay safe on the roads if you have to get out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Sorry to hear that for Greenville. If it makes you feel any better, here in Raleigh (IMBY) we are no more than 1.5". We haven't had any real heavy snows just a steady moderate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 17 minutes ago, reelscreamer said: Yep in Greenville, NC as well. All sleet. Pitiful. Hopefully someone to the west cashed in. 25 degrees Hopefully a change over soon.. Everyone stay safe on the roads if you have to get out. You have 6+ hours of precip remaining. I think you’ll do fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWX Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Bust here in Wilmington, Just under 1/8in mix of ice and sleet combined. Barely coming down now. No precipitation at all fell from 1 pm till 6 pm. Roads were dry, and so was my roof. Temp has been steady at 29.5 since 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxslug Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 25 in Mooresville. Been snowing here since about 7:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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