SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: @SouthBuffaloSteve Where do you go to monitor the ice jams? I live two streets over from Stevenson Street Bridge so that's my usual post. Planning to zip tie my go pro to the fence 50 yards up stream and time lapse the jam form under the bridge. Took a drive an hour ago and not seeing any rise yet just a low flow on top of the ice sheet but nothings moving. Charts showing a very slow flow increase but this is largely remaining below the current ice sheet without issue. My fear is a lot of the water content from the snow melt is not reaching the ground layer water table yet. Caz rises fast, responding withing 4-6 hours of precip and runoff, but saw almost no flinch all day despite peak melt conditions. Thinking is current pack continues to maintain an extremely dense water content that is not working into the ground. Just went to Target in OP and the fields along Milestrip were lakes! Possible ground layer is still frozen over and water is just stuck and not reaching the watersheds yet? Add a rapid melt of that bottom layer tomorrow with 2" of rain and were talking a flash flood situation. This could lead to a very violent ice flow if the entire content is all released at the same time. I'll be chasing the ice flow down stream throughout the day. Will have to do some recon in the morning but looking to start in West Seneca at Lydecker and move from there. Gotta shuttle the kids here and there through out the day but no work until Monday so planning to chase the jam until it reaches the lake on Firday. Buffalo Creek in West Seneca could also see some action as well. Until the ice starts moving can't really tell. I found a nice map that shows the areas covered by the creek system in WNY. The other factor in jamming is the race on which creek can hit the Buffalo River main branch first. If Buffalo and Cayuga Creek can dump into the River first and clog it up Caz has a major issue draining as it makes a perpendicular entry into the main branch. If Caz can hit the River first it doesn't seem to jam as bad. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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