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Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?

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9 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Geesh, the Lake Plains are incredible at how quickly they warm up.

Buffalo is perfectly located for some of the strongest wind events in lower elevation locations. Its like a funnel up the lake and gets amplified. Another reason why I like it here. Now that my fence is fixed I'm back on the wind train. :lol:

  • Haha 2
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5 minutes ago, vortmax said:

You have 00z and 06z there.


5 minutes ago, vortmax said:

You have 00z and 06z there.

Oops. Pivotal is out but not TT. Same thing though. Roc went from 2.6” at 6z to 2.1 at 12z. 
This is what happens when you puke out maps. Lol. Disappointing trends. If you can hear the Falls from your house, you might stand a chance. I just hope we don’t get ice. I can’t be without heat and tv. Ugh

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Flood watches issued this morning..


* WHAT...Flooding caused by rain and snowmelt continues to be

* WHERE...Portions of central and western New York, including the
  following counties, in central New York, Jefferson, Lewis,
  Northern Cayuga and Oswego. In western New York, Ontario and Wayne.

* WHEN...From Thursday morning through Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

  - Warm weather through Thursday will result in significant
    melting of the extensive snow pack over the region. A storm
    system will generate between an inch and two inches
    of rain over north-central New York, most of which will come
    from midday Thursday into Thursday evening. The combination
    of the significant rainfall and extensive snow melt may cause
    flooding along creeks and rivers.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
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Precipitation will change over from NW-SE Thursday night, following
the progression of the front. Forecast soundings continue to suggest
there will be a narrow band of sleet/freezing rain before it changes
over to all snow. This is due to a shallow layer of colder (below
freezing) air which will undercut warm air aloft. Expect any ice
accumulation to be mainly on tree branches and elevated surfaces,
with steady rain likely to run-off even if surface temperatures drop
just below freezing. Most areas should only see light snow
accumulations of an inch or two before snow tapers off Friday
afternoon. The exception is near Niagara county and the North
Country where several inches is possible depending on the timing of
the changeover. There will be a sharp gradient with more significant
snow accumulations possible just to the north of the forecast area.
Winter Weather advisories may be needed for the freezing rain and
possibly the snow.
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