cyclone77 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 The latest Euro erased the snow for northern IL, so it has moved towards the HRRR/NAMs. GFS/RGEM continue to indicate very light accumulation potential for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Down to the wire on the futility chase lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 12 hours ago, madwx said: in fact, Larry Cosgrove was pretty awful last winter and spring. He consistently called for a frigid March and a super torch April and May in the midwest and NE and that turned out horribly When Larry Cosgrove starts getting mentioned in our threads we are nearing the breaking point for some folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 55 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Down to the wire on the futility chase lol Best story is to get the record and still get to 50 " for the season. With either(2 ) 1 foot events or a 20 incher. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 plume mean at like a tenth or so, record getting spoiled by a DAB would b the worst 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Next record would be seasonal low of 9.8" in 1920-21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 off to a good start but even a marginal duster pattern makes that record difficult, a real titan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Like the 00z run, the 06z run of the Euro also whiffs northern IL tonight. However, now that the Euro has left the accumulation party, the HRRR has jumped on board. The 12z run drops some light accumulations for most of northern IL, including Chicago. The NAMs continue to remain dry over the area throughout the night. It comes down to the timing of the development of the precipitation. The models that are dry for northern IL are just delaying the eventual development of the wave of precip and still drops precip on lower MI. Gonna have to watch the ol' radar later tonight to see what actually happens. Looks like if it's gonna snow in Chicago it would be in 6h window between about 2am and 8am, so if we can keep precip from developing until near the end of that window they could remain snowless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 I wonder what it would take to get one of those cute clippers to stop by on the 24th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Snow accum chances for tonight continue to decrease for ORD and around here.If we make it past tonight, the next window to watch would be around Christmas. Obviously by that time we will have broken the record, and would just be extending it further. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 @A-L-E-Kis all about go big or go home. #respect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 13 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: plume mean at like a tenth or so, record getting spoiled by a DAB would b the worst I am rooting that on for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 I am rooting that on for sure.do you want to live?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Just now, Chicago Storm said: do you want to live? . Yes, which is why I am rooting it on, laughter is best medicine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Detroit is the new Mt. Geos 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 18, 2021 Author Share Posted December 18, 2021 It's still 40 at ORD, so I guess that's good if you're rooting against measurable snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Anyone seen the latest GFS? A big post Christmas torch. 80's as far north as Oklahoma! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 60 on christmas now lmao just looked at latest EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 also another torch at the end of the euro mid 50s for the 28th on both gfs and euro lmao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Light snow falling at both DeKalb and Rochelle, with radar returns increasing across northern IL. Looks like a good chance O'Hare gets some wet snow in the next few hours, question is will it be enough to measure. Unfortunately it's looking likely a few tenths may indeed fall tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Should be ok.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 On 12/13/2021 at 4:44 PM, A-L-E-K said: xmas torch incoming folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Starting off as pingers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 2 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Light snow falling at both DeKalb and Rochelle, with radar returns increasing across northern IL. Looks like a good chance O'Hare gets some wet snow in the next few hours, question is will it be enough to measure. Unfortunately it's looking likely a few tenths may indeed fall tonight. Record should be all systems go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: Record should be all systems go I'm all for the record at this point. But the trends in the longer term are a little disheartening. Was really hoping for a turn over the holidays. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 1 minute ago, Baum said: I'm all for the record at this point. But the trends in the longer term are a little disheartening. Was really hoping for a turn over the holidays. December snow becoming like June rains in the desert. People coming out of their homes to witness it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 1 hour ago, MIstorm97 said: Starting off as pingers Pouring snow here in Shelby twp. Drive into work was very icy. Nice banding setting up along oakland/macomb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 The snowless push continues here at ORD…. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 8 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Pouring snow here in Shelby twp. Drive into work was very icy. Nice banding setting up along oakland/macomb. I live about a mile north of 696 and it’s been moderate sleet this whole time. Constant pingers hitting the window as I type. Sad, but not surprised this happened. Despite modeled p-type maps showing all snow, skew-T plots told a different story. Was right on the border of it being sleet or snow, and any north trend or stronger WAA would mean sleet. Guess it means a top 5 least snowy December is still in play for DTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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