WxKnurd Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 5 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Translation....models are in fairly good agreement for a winter storm, especially for the mtns. We're gonna watch it and punt to the next shift. Don't want to look bad putting out a watch 72 hours in advance. I can’t even remember the last watch they’ve issued, don’t think I’ve seen one in the 3 winters I’ve lived up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Doubt we get a watch until Friday morning, its just how they roll 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 NAM significantly colder and drier both at the surface and mid levels at hr 84 vs the GFS just a few hours before precip onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 6 minutes ago, WxKnurd said: I can’t even remember the last watch they’ve issued, don’t think I’ve seen one in the 3 winters I’ve lived up here. Seems as if they like to play catchup. Honestly with technology and so much information at our fingertips, the usefulness of the nws is waning. Honestly, anything dealing with the government is so archaic at this point. Like living back in the 80's 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just got back from a 4 hour drive for work, was ITCHING to see what the EURO showed. Beautiful. And we're approaching within 90 hours... Fun few days ahead! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 GFS back on the snow train for tomorrow night lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Given how the discussion was worded I'm kind of shocked to find about 10 inches of snow in my hourly forecast grid. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 GFS through Monday 4A: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Seems faster w/ snow breaking out Saturday evening. Looks like a solid ~8-10 hours of snow before any p-type issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Oh damn... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, BretWx said: Oh damn... *Laughs in Kuchera* Made my jaw drop. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, AsheCounty48 said: *Laughs in Kuchera* Made my jaw drop. Keeps getting better. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Well Jason Boyer said snow totals are going down because models were trending warmer 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Ace Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Who? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 6 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Well Jason Boyer said snow totals are going down because models were trending warmer I was just talking about him. If he wants to stay on the conservative side he needs to be that way from the get go. I just talked to family that watched him and said snow was a miss it’s gonna be mostly rain now. Which is far from the truth we’ve all seen it today on models totals have not went down! He could be putting some people in danger if he doesn’t jump on board by tomorrow evening! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 He is simply not as plugged in as many mets like Chris Justus he is my local favorite. No models are showing rain. Temps will be mid 20s... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 8 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said: I was just talking about him. If he wants to stay on the conservative side he needs to be that way from the get go. I just talked to family that watched him and said snow was a miss it’s gonna be mostly rain now. Which is far from the truth we’ve all seen it today on models totals have not went down! He could be putting some people in danger if he doesn’t jump on board by tomorrow evening! Just saw his post. Mind boggling to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 hour ago, AsheCounty48 said: *Laughs in Kuchera* Made my jaw drop. Man and that’s with 10:1. Temps here are upper teens to around 20 Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Yeah Jason has always been like that. Very nice guy in person but I also think someone above him is pulling the strings. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 In fairness to Boyer, he doesn't say plain rain, just that it would be mixed decreasing snow totals and said that it could be significant. But, he did say it was getting warmer on the models which I have not seen nor decreased snow totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 People actually watch tv Mets? Why? This forum is all you need. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Meh doesn't matter really. WLOS have always been pretty conservative anyways. But do you blame them? We have gotten burnt a few times already this season.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 13 Author Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, ncjoaquin said: In fairness to Boyer, he doesn't say plain rain, just that it would be mixed decreasing snow totals and said that it could be significant. But, he did say it was getting warmer on the models which I have not seen nor decreased snow totals Jason always takes an indifferent stance with these storms. Give his followers just enough to understand that there is a major winter storm coming, but backs off just short of going all in to save himself the humiliation and ire if it all goes wrong. If you forecast 6” and get 12”, what wonderful surprise. If you forecast 12” and get 5”, it’s pitchforks and bayonets. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Ill remind everyone we still have 3 days for this to go to crap. Don't want that but there is definitely a chance for that. These type storms are tricky and last minute adjustments may mean a lot in the big picture of things. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 6 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Ill remind everyone we still have 3 days for this to go to crap. Don't want that but there is definitely a chance for that. These type storms are tricky and last minute adjustments may mean a lot in the big picture of things. No doubt! Ive went to sleep ready for glory to wake up with $hit on my boots 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 10 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Ill remind everyone we still have 3 days for this to go to crap. Don't want that but there is definitely a chance for that. These type storms are tricky and last minute adjustments may mean a lot in the big picture of things. Yep, nervously hoping against the windshield wiper effect with our trends this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 I say let's get through Friday and we can maybe have some breathing room. Be excited but cautiously... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 18z Euro was about to lay the hammer down. (Only goes out or hr 90) it was slightly colder too, prob gonna be another foot + run for WNC! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 7 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said: 18z Euro was about to lay the hammer down. (Only goes out or hr 90) it was slightly colder too, prob gonna be another foot + run for WNC! Definitely a weenie run! Hopefully we are losing that primary into Tennessee. That would cut down our totals 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 I was just talking about him. If he wants to stay on the conservative side he needs to be that way from the get go. I just talked to family that watched him and said snow was a miss it’s gonna be mostly rain now. Which is far from the truth we’ve all seen it today on models totals have not went down! He could be putting some people in danger if he doesn’t jump on board by tomorrow evening!He stood there downplaying the threat while he had a probability table on screen that contradicted him. That's when I realized that it's Jason Boyer, laughed, shook my head and turned the TV back to Futurama. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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