Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    16,780
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Avon
    Newest Member
    Avon
    Joined

April 20-21 late season snow potential


Hoosier
 Share

Recommended Posts

Wherever tomorrow doesn’t deliver, there may be a risk for heavy snow showers Wednesday under the cold core. ECMWF area forecast sounding for LOT’s CWA below - point soundings from it and the NAMs show some potential for TSSN. I believe we had a similar April setup in ~2016 that produced local squalls w lightning and thunder. 
6CF232FB-627B-44CD-8F9B-56FA04810B07.thumb.png.d022d60f035ca42ae05821be13fc256a.png

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

Hilarious isn't the word I'd use lol. But actually, last spring each accumulating snowfall of April 15, April 17, and May 10 hit the southeast burbs of Detroit harder than north.

Another quality potential bites the dust. Seems to be the norm the past 3 winters, trends SE, weaker as we get into 72 hour range. Score one for the ukmet, schooled the euro.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said:

A non-event??? 

That’s definitely exaggeration. Sure, it’s more exciting when Chicago or Detroit or Pittsburgh gets the jackpot than when it’s in BFE places like Lima, OH, but 5+ inches anywhere non-mountainous in late April isn’t a non-event.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wherever tomorrow doesn’t deliver, there may be a risk for heavy snow showers Wednesday under the cold core. ECMWF area forecast sounding for LOT’s CWA below - point soundings from it and the NAMs show some potential for TSSN. I believe we had a similar April setup in ~2016 that produced local squalls w lightning and thunder. 
6CF232FB-627B-44CD-8F9B-56FA04810B07.thumb.png.d022d60f035ca42ae05821be13fc256a.png
Agree, shades of April 2, 2016. The NAMnest is modeling 45-50 dBZ cores on Wednesday, owing to those near dry adiabatic 0-3km lapse rates. One lacking aspect on Wednesday is the weaker wind fields, whereas April 2, 2016 had 45-60 mph wind gusts. Could envision 30-40 mph gusts on Wednesday in squalls.

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...