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BuffaloWeather

Upstate/Eastern New York

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As met winter ends this weekend, all I've got to say is Good Riddance to one extremely boring winter for Northern Onondaga county.

Time to move onto brown lawns and convective snow showers for the next two months.

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23 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

As met winter ends this weekend, all I've got to say is Good Riddance to one extremely boring winter for Northern Onondaga county.

Time to move onto brown lawns and convective snow showers for the next two months.

We will get "the big one" in Morch, getting us near 90-100", forcing us to reconsider the current D grade to the winter here. ;)

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3 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

We will get "the big one" in Morch, getting us near 90-100", forcing us to reconsider the current D grade to the winter here. ;)

If that happens....then we'll have to endure the "weather ignorants" chatting about "Oh my goooodness. This was such an awful winter. Tho much sthnoooow. I barely made it out alive."

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  I know we've been beat up this year, synoptically, but climatology tells us this is the time of year we can get big ones... And this set up is not too far off...

 

image.thumb.png.a691b281c55f03fb4bb07990ccff80eb.png

 

image.thumb.png.91d30441260f1d4ad1d9aa5ee7ef3aa4.png

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9 hours ago, rochesterdave said:

Lots of energy but nothing grabs. One thing is for certain, GFS is waaaay colder in the coming two weeks than just a couple days ago. Big changes. Now we need a storm! 

GFS MJO has caved towards the Euro MJO.  This month might not even be warm anymore. 

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There are some changes to the extended portion of the forecast as
the invasion of the next shot of cold air now looks to come in as
early as Thursday. Unlike the previous cool down earlier in the week
that was brief, this round of cold will likely stick around for at
least a few days, possibly right through next weekend.

Brief zonal flow mid week quickly amplifies starting Thursday as
large upper ridge builds across the Rockies northward into Canada
forcing a deep trough to carve out across the eastern third of the
CONUS. There will be several shortwaves and associated surface cold
fronts/troughs bringing reinforcing shots of cold air Thu-Sat.
However, the airmass looks to be fairly dry, so not expecting much
more than some light snow showers from time to time as of now with
the passage of any wave. Otherwise, this will translate to below
normal temperatures for the latter part of the week through as least
next weekend.

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34 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:
There are some changes to the extended portion of the forecast as
the invasion of the next shot of cold air now looks to come in as
early as Thursday. Unlike the previous cool down earlier in the week
that was brief, this round of cold will likely stick around for at
least a few days, possibly right through next weekend.

Brief zonal flow mid week quickly amplifies starting Thursday as
large upper ridge builds across the Rockies northward into Canada
forcing a deep trough to carve out across the eastern third of the
CONUS. There will be several shortwaves and associated surface cold
fronts/troughs bringing reinforcing shots of cold air Thu-Sat.
However, the airmass looks to be fairly dry, so not expecting much
more than some light snow showers from time to time as of now with
the passage of any wave. Otherwise, this will translate to below
normal temperatures for the latter part of the week through as least
next weekend.

It would be nice if we could break this winter's pattern of potential and ................................................ nothing.

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1 minute ago, wolfie09 said:

I wouldn't mind the GGEM lol But these Canadian guidance love to overdo everything ..

sn10_acc.us_ne - 2021-02-28T135905.496.png

European next 10days..

sn10_acc.us_ne - 2021-02-28T140129.098.png

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25 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

It would be nice if we could break this winter's pattern of potential and ................................................ nothing.

You ain’t kidding! It’s been a long winter of every synoptic potential just dying. At least for us! I remain hopeful that March can deliver one or two. The overall set up is there. I’m wondering about blocking though. 

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23 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

You ain’t kidding! It’s been a long winter of every synoptic potential just dying. At least for us! I remain hopeful that March can deliver one or two. The overall set up is there. I’m wondering about blocking though. 

Yeah. The -NAO has actually not been our friend this season either. It's looking to mess up the end of the week for us.

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