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BuffaloWeather

Upstate/Eastern New York

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1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said:

I’ve heard the same, local Mets brought it up as well. Next week looks like the one week and back to wintrier type weather. This is exactly why mud lasts well into April many years and some places to May. I really believe in a lot of ways it’s why people associate us with long winters because springs around her more often than not do not get spring like for good until mid May.

Good point. My first spring here consisted of several snowfalls in April with the last week of April having a couple ground-coverings. Then last year, there were snowfalls through April with the last one in Mid-May when we got 2 inches during the middle of the day.

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April is certainly the cruelest month in upstate NY.

Just when you think you're out of winter.....they pull you back in!

I can already see it coming when we are all enjoying 55F and warm bright sunshine next week.

 

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28 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

A hit for Buffalo...Lol...can a low pressure go somewhere OTHER than SW NY this season? Even though it's 10 days away......

Yeah, Michigan lol

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_40 (2).png

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12 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Yeah, Michigan lol

 

Ha! Those have been the two main tracks these past 5 years. Up Lake Michigan or up Lake Erie.

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Aloft, an upper level trough will remain anchored over the area
through the end of the work week and weekend. This will instill cold
air aloft at 850mb to drop into the mid negative teens Celsius,
which will be cold enough to support lake effect snow showers south
and southeast of both Lakes Erie and Ontario, but mainly south of
Lake Ontario. All this said, additional moisture from a few
shortwave passages Friday night and Saturday will support the more
widespread lake effect snow showers. Overall, day to day
accumulations of up to an inch are possible throughout the entirety
of the period.

Aside from the lake effect, the aforementioned cold air aloft will
provide for below normal temperatures for the end of the week and
weekend.

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Under the influence of the high, warm air will be advected into the
region causing temperatures to gradually warm to near normal for the
start of the week before warming to above normal by mid-week. Highs
Monday will climb up into the 40s Monday and 50s Tuesday and
Wednesday.

With a vast majority of the region still under some sort of
snowpack, the warm temperatures will warrant melt, which may cause
some flooding. This will be monitored as the warm up approaches.

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Typical march weather..Cold one week warm the next..

Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 26. Northwest wind 11 to 14 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 11. Northwest wind 11 to 13 mph.
Friday
A chance of snow showers, mainly after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 25. West wind 11 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
A chance of snow showers, mainly after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 14. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 24.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 28.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 12.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 38.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29.
Tuesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 44.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32.
Wednesday
Partly sunny, with a high near 54.

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5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:
Aloft, an upper level trough will remain anchored over the area
through the end of the work week and weekend. This will instill cold
air aloft at 850mb to drop into the mid negative teens Celsius,
which will be cold enough to support lake effect snow showers south
and southeast of both Lakes Erie and Ontario, but mainly south of
Lake Ontario. All this said, additional moisture from a few
shortwave passages Friday night and Saturday will support the more
widespread lake effect snow showers. Overall, day to day
accumulations of up to an inch are possible throughout the entirety
of the period.

Aside from the lake effect, the aforementioned cold air aloft will
provide for below normal temperatures for the end of the week and
weekend.

They put that in there just to troll me, I swear... :whistle:

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28 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

They put that in there just to troll me, I swear... :whistle:

Seriously! Lmao!   I have never seen a winter with so much variation- have the snow belts shifted???!  LES now target SW Onondaga county on the regular 

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19 minutes ago, SyracuseStorm said:

Seriously! Lmao!   I have never seen a winter with so much variation- have the snow belts shifted???!  LES now target SW Onondaga county on the regular 

Haha! Yep! They have bulls-eyed all winter! I wish somebody down there in the Tully area kept track this winter...they are probably over 100 inches on this winter..wouldn't be surprised if some spots had double what we've had.

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51 minutes ago, SyracuseStorm said:

Seriously! Lmao!   I have never seen a winter with so much variation- have the snow belts shifted???!  LES now target SW Onondaga county on the regular 

 

30 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Haha! Yep! They have bulls-eyed all winter! I wish somebody down there in the Tully area kept track this winter...they are probably over 100 inches on this winter..wouldn't be surprised if some spots had double what we've had.

Thought I'd post this on the conversation we're having... :lmao:

snku_acc.us_ne.png

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1 hour ago, SyracuseStorm said:

Can’t make this sh** up anymore...

The other models show it even more. Southern Onondaga, Northern Cortland, and SW Madison (all higher elevations) cashing in.

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29 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Up to 98.9 for season snowfall. Need 9.7 to tie for 10th snowiest.

Curious if that's up at the airport on the hilltop or downtown. Downtown BGM and along 81/17 they seem to get waaaay less.

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12 hours ago, TugHillMatt said:

Curious if that's up at the airport on the hilltop or downtown. Downtown BGM and along 81/17 they seem to get waaaay less.

KBGM site is up on the hill at the airport. In most winters I'd say the valley floor averages a foot less snow over an entire winter.

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