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NorthHillsWx

February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat

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1 minute ago, BullCityWx said:

18z Euro has a precip minimum in the foothills just like the 18z ICON. Something to watch for areas west of 77. 

So less ICE then for Hickory and points west into Burke County? Because from what Brad P. Is saying 0.25 to 0.50 to GSP makes me wonder. Guess we will see. 

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5 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

18z Euro has a precip minimum in the foothills just like the 18z ICON. Something to watch for areas west of 77. 

Can you elaborate more on the 18z Euro?  Any change in temps?  Does ice teach RDU or CLT?   Triad or thereabouts still with a bullseye?

Thanks in advance!

TW

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It does look like there will be two bands of higher totals and a minima area in between. Most models have the first band west of the mountains and the 2nd band east of the foothills. 
 

not sure how much that will matter though Bc it probably just means most of the 1/2 inch of liquid freezes instead of getting 2 inches of liquid where lots of it runs off in the downpours.

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2 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

It does look like there will be two bands of higher totals and a minima area in between. Most models have the first band west of the mountains and the 2nd band east of the foothills. 
 

not sure how much that will matter though Bc it probably just means most of the 1/2 inch of liquid freezes instead of getting 2 inches of liquid where lots of it runs off in the downpours.

That's what I was thinking which makes be believe areas like Hickory and Morganton could be more near the 0.50 then 0.25 GSP starting to hint at it. 

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1 hour ago, BooneWX said:

We need to remember that this high isnt nearly as transient as with recent storms. It’s much easier to lock in a long duration event when we have a feed of dry air from the north. I’m nervous about this one.

That’s so interesting because 48 hours ago, it seemed it would be more transient and less potent 

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21 minutes ago, tarheelwx said:

Can you elaborate more on the 18z Euro?  Any change in temps?  Does ice teach RDU or CLT?   Triad or thereabouts still with a bullseye?

Thanks in advance!

TW

Yeah, a little bit lighter toward Winston but it’s not temps, it’s just less precip.

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What does anybody think for the southern foothills Rutherford county on any ice accumulation or just cold rain. What could be the ballpark figures min and max on ice and any possible snow or sleet for this area at the onset. Thanks for the insight. 

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25 minutes ago, WeatherWeenie87 said:

WPC Freezing rain accum map :weenie:

image.png.56cf19b9350cd1f78adfa9a3fc3d19e1.png

I like how their scale includes up to 10"+. It's like they're allowing for the possibility of a day after tomorrow thing

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What does anybody think for the southern foothills Rutherford county on any ice accumulation or just cold rain. What could be the ballpark figures min and max on ice and any possible snow or sleet for this area at the onset. Thanks for the insight. 

Here is the thoughts of Scotty Powell with the foothills weather network
They do a good job in our area.

6e9595717d64351de0322ca3e6c7f67c.jpg


.
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3 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

HRRR keeps saying sleet fest

ref1km_ptype.us_ma (11).png

I’ve only seen significant sleet accumulation once before, around 4 inches. Was in Prince William Co. VA along I-95 in late 90s. Temps were mid 20s. Would vote this 10/10 instead of ZR. 

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