rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 BUF disco mentioned the “monster HP” several times. It was clear to me they were leaning towards suppression. I’m not sure. Everything has tacked NW. I really hope that trend holds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, SyracuseStorm said: Right- they may be overdoing the strength of the high and if that puppy gives, even a bit, game on. Coastal transfers are a sore subject around here, at least for me. I've definitely seen some big busts from them over the years. To have a shot, we need this thing further North IMO, heading towards Cleveland before the transfer starts to initiate. The remnant inverted trough can work out, but again thats never set in stone. Still a very long ways off so we shouldnt be latching onto anything just yet. I'm just glad it isnt cutting on us. I'd rather get no snow than have this thing cut and give us rain, obviously. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 I am hoping we can get more of a spray like we did last night than the narrow bands. Looks like it miiiiight be starting to do that? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 7 minutes ago, SyracuseStorm said: Any thoughts on this next storm Monday & Tuesday? Feel like the models went off the rails today and call it a hunch, but I see this coming right back to where it started. Don’t big storms typically make their NW correction 48 hrs out? Folks south of NY state are locking in amounts and the NAM isn’t even in its “wheelhouse” No one should be jumping ship after a model run or two for sure. Set aside the fact about the NW trend this winter, this storm won't even be fully sampled until atleast the 0z runs tomorrow night. With as many moving parts that are in play, this could trend in any direction right up until it's hours from unfolding. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Delta band is really blowing up now. Headed your way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Gb band coming into lake ontario now. Almost complete connection. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 17 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I noticed that too! I went to the Central PA sub and had to leave because they're talking like it's already locked in. Well if it doesn't hit us I hope it gets suppressed to Florida.. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Some one else check out the sat pic. I think I am seeing a meso low forming north of rochester where gb band is entering lake ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 16 minutes ago, tim123 said: Delta band is really blowing up now. Headed your way. There is some snow in the air. The radar is filling in pretty nicely though. Hoping we can get some added lift from upper low. Over on Huron they are getting pounded pretty good. That has to be one of the better places to live for lake effect snow in the Great Lakes. Also interesting that the bands have been moving around quite a bit already. The Georgian bay band has reoriented itself about 3 times since late afternoon. And that Huron band is on the move too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: There is some snow in the air. The radar is filling in pretty nicely though. Hoping we can get some added lift from upper low. Over on Huron they are getting pounded pretty good. That has to be one of the better places to live for lake effect snow in the Great Lakes. Also interesting that the bands have been moving around quite a bit already. The Georgian bay band has reoriented itself about 3 times since late afternoon. And that Huron band is on the move too. Yup in fact the Niagara Frontier is getting some light to at times moderate returns here in Williamsville but the flakes are grainy, almost graupel like but not as soft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Ok, I guess I need a lesson on reading radar. My parents are right under this band in NE Webster, but no snow. This is an image from the Channel 10 radar. Is there so sort of offset based on the angle of the beam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, vortmax said: Ok, I guess I need a lesson on reading radar. My parents are right under this band in NE Webster, but no snow. This is an image from the Channel 10 radar. Is there so sort of offset based on the angle of the beam? It could be offset due to the wind. Shouldn’t be by much. That band is the only game in town right now and pretty weak sauce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 NAM is further north with primary for what it’s worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Some times on radar band is over you cause that's where precip is at cloud base but wind can offset that and literally blow over you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 15 minutes ago, vortmax said: Ok, I guess I need a lesson on reading radar. My parents are right under this band in NE Webster, but no snow. This is an image from the Channel 10 radar. Is there so sort of offset based on the angle of the beam? I’m guessing it’s a wind thing. The radar beam is hitting that band relatively high over that location and the wind is probably displacing that snow a mile or so east of the heaviest returns at the surface 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Some of the 00z mesos are bringing that Mexico Bay band due south into N. Onondaga county. We shall see.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: NAM is further north with primary for what it’s worth. Yep. Again- 3-4 days of model runs to go. Just gonna grab my popcorn and read the other forum reactions. It is entertaining 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Getting some nice returns on that band now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Moisture looks to be increasing in the Eastern Lake Ontario region. Oswego county's about to light up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: Getting some nice returns on that band now Nice radar! Where do you find that? The band does look good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 I love the Radarscope images that CNY posts...but no way am I spending money for a radar. Hah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, rochesterdave said: Nice radar! Where do you find that? The band does look good https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=BUF-N0Q-1-24-100 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, rochesterdave said: Nice radar! Where do you find that? The band does look good It's the College of DuPage one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, TugHillMatt said: I love the Radarscope images that CNY posts...but no way am I spending money for a radar. Hah! It's like 10 bucks a year for the best radar data in the country. So many features too. Bite the bullet man, you had a banner year in the market! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Decent little event on the ARW.. From pulaski area to SYRMax, not something you see everyday so it probably won't be happening lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, vortmax said: It's the College of DuPage one. It's the best free one that I use. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, DeltaT13 said: It's like 10 bucks a year for the best radar data in the country. So many features too. Bite the bullet man, you had a banner year in the market! It's the Scot-Irish penny pincher in me that I inherited from my grandpa... lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Decent little event on the ARW.. From pulaski area to SYRMax, not something you see everyday so it probably won't be happening lol That's one that I was referring to. I am JUST touching the pink...which means I would love for it to happen, but yeah, you know.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Best ratios I’ve ever seen the last two hours. Just incredible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 $10!!!!!LOL. If you can’t dig that up I’m gonna start a GoFundMe for you. “Please help Matt to get a radar app so he can obsess more” lol. I tease, I tease. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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