Grayman Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Massive winter storm on Day 8.5 euro. Snow for CLT/GSO/RDU with a transition zone around the SC border. That’s a beautiful storm. Can we hold it without too much of the Northwest trend getting us Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 12 1 minute ago, Grayman said: That’s a beautiful storm. Can we hold it without too much of the Northwest trend getting us Actually, Rockingham would be the best place in the state if this happened tomorrow. We'll see if the ensembles bite. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 12 If you draw a line from New Bern straight back to the tennessee line in Macon County within about 30 miles N or S of that line, thats the focus of this run. Almost a true M&M storm. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 12 There's too many maps to post but it's a beautiful storm. Verbatim, not a big event for north of say 40 but there's no reason that wouldnt fill in. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 12 Just now, BullCityWx said: There's too many maps to post but it's a beautiful storm. Verbatim, not a big event for north of say 40 but there's no reason that wouldnt fill in. Temps in the Mid 20s with potential for ratios north of 40 though. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Met1985 Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: There's too many maps to post but it's a beautiful storm. Verbatim, not a big event for north of say 40 but there's no reason that wouldnt fill in. Yeah that is a nice little storm. One thing I've been noticing is that any warmup per se has been muted by the midels time and time again. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 12 Just now, Met1985 said: Yeah that is a nice little storm. One thing I've been noticing is that any warmup per se has been muted by the midels time and time again. That aint what I've been hearing I'd take the synoptics of that event as depicted 1000% of the time. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Met1985 Posted January 12 The blocking we are seeing is something we have not seen in a long while. The models are struggling even just a day or two out. I think the biggest takeaway recently is that we can expect things to pop up and be a legitimate threat in a relatively short time period. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Met1985 Posted January 12 Just now, BullCityWx said: That aint what I've been hearing I'd take the synoptics of that event as depicted 1000% of the time. Yeah every time! Even in marginal temps but shoot the euro went from a mild day to an all out snowstorm for NC. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BornAgain13 Posted January 12 Yes the day 8.5 Euro would be a widespread winter storm taken verbatim and definitely would probably see the moisture more north than what is showing... let's hope the ensembles bite... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Grayman Posted January 12 21 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Actually, Rockingham would be the best place in the state if this happened tomorrow. We'll see if the ensembles bite. Yes, that scares me. That would be very rare Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Met1985 Posted January 12 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: Yes the day 8.5 Euro would be a widespread winter storm taken verbatim and definitely would probably see the moisture more north than what is showing... let's hope the ensembles bite... Even if they dont I think the next three weeks especially are above average for seeing something pop here in the SE. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BornAgain13 Posted January 12 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Even if they dont I think the next three weeks especially are above average for seeing something pop here in the SE. Agreed! 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NCSNOW Posted January 12 The South of the Border Crusher: Actually just misses to the north. Pedro would have been happy in 9 days. Is that place still open?? 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 12 There's still the same amount of interest on the GEFS for next Tuesday and Wednesday but there is significant interest in the same time period the Euro has this event. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BornAgain13 Posted January 12 DT is putting out a video this evening on the "possibility" of this storm... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BornAgain13 Posted January 12 Just now, BullCityWx said: There's still the same amount of interest on the GEFS for next Tuesday and Wednesday but there is significant interest in the same time period the Euro has this event. Good Good!!! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CaryWx Posted January 12 Is this all one storm next week just the models haven't nailed down the right day yet possibly? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
StantonParkHoya Posted January 12 8 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: The South of the Border Crusher: Actually just misses to the north. Pedro would have been happy in 9 days. Is that place still open?? Your geography is off. SOtB barely sees any snow on the Euro. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CentralNC Posted January 12 27 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: DT is putting out a video this evening on the "possibility" of this storm... Oh you mean the guy that had me in the 6-10 area for last Friday? After barely getting a trace, I'd rather find something on Netflix. 1 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sarcean Posted January 12 38 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: The South of the Border Crusher: Actually just misses to the north. Pedro would have been happy in 9 days. Is that place still open?? Can i cash out now here in Charlotte Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 12 6 minutes ago, CentralNC said: Oh you mean the guy that had me in the 6-10 area for last Friday? After barely getting a trace, I'd rather find something on Netflix. He’s excellent at mid range pattern recognition. I’ve never even a big fan of his in the short range. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CentralNC Posted January 12 8 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: He’s excellent at mid range pattern recognition. I’ve never even a big fan of his in the short range. I get it and I agree on the mid range thing. But he blames everyone else for hype and he's just as bad as anyone. His short range maps he puts out are abysmal Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
olafminesaw Posted January 12 9 minutes ago, CentralNC said: I get it and I agree on the mid range thing. But he blames everyone else for hype and he's just as bad as anyone. His short range maps he puts out are abysmal Honestly, his maps would be really solid if he just cut his totals in half. It's like he posts his max potential map every storm by accident, or something 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
franklin NCwx Posted January 12 1 hour ago, BullCityWx said: If you draw a line from New Bern straight back to the tennessee line in Macon County within about 30 miles N or S of that line, thats the focus of this run. Almost a true M&M storm. Dropping some macon county love! Of course I'll be in Florida next week 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BullCityWx Posted January 12 Mid range event still there on the 18z. Snow confined mostly east of Burlington. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 12 3 hours ago, NCSNOW said: The South of the Border Crusher: Actually just misses to the north. Pedro would have been happy in 9 days. Is that place still open?? More like a New Bern Crusher 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
kvegas-wx Posted January 12 3 hours ago, NCSNOW said: The South of the Border Crusher: Actually just misses to the north. Pedro would have been happy in 9 days. Is that place still open?? I've been watching this board for many years now and I honestly cant recall a storm modeled like that. I'm gonna say that doesnt pan out quite that way. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PantherJustin Posted January 12 1 hour ago, BullCityWx said: Mid range event still there on the 18z. Snow confined mostly east of Burlington. right where we want it at this stage over here on the I-77 Corridor lol Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CaryWx Posted January 12 12 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: right where we want it at this stage over here on the I-77 Corridor lol Perfect for Roanoke to Richmond Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites