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Tropical Storm Eta

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Reporting from the (slightly elevated) ground of coconut grove - wind consistently in the 30s (probably bursts above that but seems like more of an event further north from what I’m reading here) and wet, but no lightning strikes or thunder of any sort. 

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Rainy and windy in Jupiter for sure .... but to be honest this is like a windy cold front just blowing from the opposite direction. Lol. Just glad the rain totals haven’t worked out so far 

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Tampa Bay/Gulfport:

Gust to 39 mph at the Sunshine Skyway Bridge fishing pier, 41 mph at Surfside Condos on Clearwater Beach. We've had several gusts around 33 mph here in Gulfport. It's been windy for well over 24 hours.

No measurable rain to speak of, but we are quite a bit north right now. We do expect some later tonight as there is a band on the radar that could make it here.

So far it's not the strongest storm of the year for us, but watching closely in case it does strengthen and turn back to the Gulf Coast in a few days.

It does have that "feel" that we all know so well in tropical system areas.

 

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27 minutes ago, Prospero said:

Tampa Bay/Gulfport:

Gust to 39 mph at the Sunshine Skyway Bridge fishing pier, 41 mph at Surfside Condos on Clearwater Beach. We've had several gusts around 33 mph here in Gulfport. It's been windy for well over 24 hours.

No measurable rain to speak of, but we are quite a bit north right now. We do expect some later tonight as there is a band on the radar that could make it here.

So far it's not the strongest storm of the year for us, but watching closely in case it does strengthen and turn back to the Gulf Coast in a few days.

It does have that "feel" that we all know so well in tropical system areas.

 

Could get a little dicey around here Thursday into Friday. That's from Tampa following the I4 corridor into Orlando. According to the Hwrf.

Edit. Still breezy.  But winds have dropped a little since the sun went down. 

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Just now, FLweather said:

Could get a little dicey around here Thursday into Friday. That's from Tampa following the I4 corridor into Orlando. According to the Hwrf.

 

That's what we are keeping in the back of our minds in my home. Hoping Eta does not fire up in the Gulf like it did before hitting the Mosquito Coast. I doubt that will happen, but a TS could be visiting.

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4 minutes ago, Prospero said:

That's what we are keeping in the back of our minds in my home. Hoping Eta does not fire up in the Gulf like it did before hitting the Mosquito Coast. I doubt that will happen, but a TS could be visiting.

Same thoughts here.

But its 2020 and probably also on Friday the 13th.

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Powerful deep convection, the deepest convection in the whole system, is firing in a band north of the center, and this feature will hit the SE FL coast. This band may have the most powerful winds in the entire storm. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-14-200-1-10-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

Already the conditions out there are solidly tropical storm force, with lots of wind and torrential squalls moving through very often. 

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2 hours ago, Modfan2 said:

Eta appears to be tracking more nw than west; decent banding about to hit Ft Lauderdale 

Does look farther north than expected to me.

Edit: I can't seem to find a radar right now.

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9 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said:

Powerful deep convection, the deepest convection in the whole system, is firing in a band north of the center, and this feature will hit the SE FL coast. This band may have the most powerful winds in the entire storm. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-14-200-1-10-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

Already the conditions out there are solidly tropical storm force, with lots of wind and torrential squalls moving through very often. 

Looks to angle itself right into Broward County, so the cams in downtown FTL, Dania Beach Pier, & Hollywood Beach are going to get really good.

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5 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said:

Powerful deep convection, the deepest convection in the whole system, is firing in a band north of the center, and this feature will hit the SE FL coast. This band may have the most powerful winds in the entire storm. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-14-200-1-10-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

Already the conditions out there are solidly tropical storm force, with lots of wind and torrential squalls moving through very often. 

Wonder how much longer the LLC will hang on before opening and broadening?

Looking at IR, the Northwest shield is growing.  

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Just had an intense band move through Boca. Up to 4.62 inches of rain for the day and pressure is below 1008 mb.

Screenshot_20201108-200222_Chrome.jpg

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Looking at radar the LLC still moving in a NW direction. 

But looking at IR. Sadly you can make out the MLC and it appears to be due west.

Its stacked for now.

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31 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said:

Powerful deep convection, the deepest convection in the whole system, is firing in a band north of the center, and this feature will hit the SE FL coast. This band may have the most powerful winds in the entire storm. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-14-200-1-10-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

Already the conditions out there are solidly tropical storm force, with lots of wind and torrential squalls moving through very often. 

What’s the avocado situation? My buddy in Miami just had his avocado tree snap in half. Lol 

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12 minutes ago, tdp146 said:

What’s the avocado situation? My buddy in Miami just had his avocado tree snap in half. Lol 

The tree is fine thank God. I got 15 avocados here inside, only a few stubborn ones left on the tree. 

I was just out there remarking on how these are definitely the highest winds of the day. The wind is roaring through the trees and I'm hearing the hurricane howl every few minutes. Indeed, a site on the coast in Ft Lauderdale just recorded 66 MPH. https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base_dyn.cgi?stn=AU497&unit=0&timetype=GMT

Things really intensifying as this primary convective band moves in. I think we could reach hurricane force in the coming hour once this band moves in. Also tremendous potential for flooding, it is at the exact right configuration to train over us. 

P.S. Recon confirms that the nice looking eye feature that is about to make landfall in the Keys only has winds of 40-50 MPH. The real action is up here in Dade/Broward/Palm Beach. I think recon will fly through this band and check it out. 

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5 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said:

The tree is fine thank God. I got 15 avocados here inside, only a few stubborn ones left on the tree. 

I was just out there remarking on how these are definitely the highest winds of the day. The wind is roaring through the trees and I'm hearing the hurricane howl every few minutes. Indeed, a site on the coast in Ft Lauderdale just recorded 66 MPH. https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base_dyn.cgi?stn=AU497&unit=0&timetype=GMT

Things really intensifying as this primary convective band moves in. I think we could reach hurricane force in the coming hour once this band moves in. Also tremendous potential for flooding, it is at the exact right configuration to train over us. 

P.S. Recon confirms that the nice looking eye feature that is about to make landfall in the Keys only has winds of 40-50 MPH. The real action is up here in Dade/Broward/Palm Beach. I think recon will fly through this band and check it out. 

Will recon find something juicy or will the dirty north side be a let down?

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No way we keep power through the night. Power flickering frequently here in the squalls. Occasional blue lightning. It’s expected as we are a bit rural. Genny and 30 gal of fuel ready to go. 

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55 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

My uncle lives in Boca on intercoastal, his roof is leaking all over his house. Buckets everywhere.

I just went into my bathroom and noticed water pooling on the floor, coming in from where the wall meets the floor.  Ugh.

Watching this next band closely on radar.  As of now it looks like it may slide to the south of us but hard to tell with the curving movement.

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So if Eta makes landfall on the south as a tropical storm and later hits further north as a hurricane does that count as two separate landfalls for records or is it still considered one landfalling storm?

 

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Tropical Storm Eta Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL292020
1100 PM EST Sun Nov 08 2020

...ETA MAKES LANDFALL IN LOWER MATECUMBE KEY FLORIDA...

Doppler radar data indicate that Eta has made landfall on Lower 
Matecumbe Key in the Florida Keys as a strong tropical storm with 
maximum winds estimated to be near 65 mph (100 km/h).  

A WeatherFlow station at Carysfort Reef Light in the Florida Keys 
recently reported a sustained wind of 52 mph (84 km/h) with a gust 
of 63 mph (101 km/h). Another Weatherflow station in Key Largo 
recently reported a wind gust of 53 mph (85 km/h). A wind gust 
of 47 mph (76 km/h) was measured at Homestead Air Force Base in 
Homestead, Florida.  

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EST...0400 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.9N 80.7W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM ENE OF MARATHON FLORIDA
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM ENE OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Blake

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Eta is now moving SSW. Though it looks pretty anemic thanks to very stable dry air out of the west being pulled in by the mid-to-upper trough/ULL, there is still a good stream of moisture feed out of the Caribbean on the backside. As Eta continues to dive SSW today, robust convection will likely begin to weaken the ULL due to diabetic heating. As such a small anticyclone should begin to form over Eta to further aid in divergence. Dry air may have less of an influence without the mid-level flow infringing upon Eta's vortex. If convection can ramp up this evening, it should be able to close off and shield itself somewhat from the mid-level influences of dry air and shear. This has been modeled consistently by the HWRF, which continues to want to ramp Eta back up into a hurricane. How strong a hurricane will likely depend on how far SSW the vorticity maximum can get by tonight, how long it persists there over the Gulf Loop (which is still very warm at the surface - 29ºC), and how fast the ULL can be filled by Eta's convective influences.

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