TAP

The center made landfall on my key late last night. My house is 20 ft from Atlantic and 4 ft in elevation. Wind was not bad and was actually worse yesterday morning during squall. We had 1-2ft of surge at high tide but nothing made it to my downstairs level. I have power and internet so all is good. A little yard cleanup but the worst winds appear to be north and east of us up in Miami and Ft Lauderdale.

I've been watching this for several days. Models have been somewhat consistent on something for Tuesday. I read back on January 1985 and it looks like a few days prior 1/21-1/22 there was artic air with very low temps (-8 in ATL). I'm sure the cold temps helped that scenario. Some of the models show a rain/snow transition for Tuesday. What is everyone's thoughts on this? Will the early precip shown be mostly virga with a dry column? The very cold air behind worries me too. Could we have an ice under snow situation like 2014?